PREDICTION MARKETS, both venues as one: Kalshi (the exchange Robinhood routes most of its event contracts to) and Polymarket. desk trader: the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 by the hour and at the close, the Fed funds ladder for the next meetings, rate cuts, CPI, payrolls, GDP, recession, yields, gold, oil, and Polymarket's macro and stocks events by volume. desk crypto: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE and HYPE ranges by the hour and the day, the year's high and low, and Polymarket's crypto events. Every market carries its yes price as the implied probability with bid, ask and spread; price ladders carry implied - the market-implied median, 25th/75th and 10th/90th percentiles and the half-band in percent, the number to hold against the dealer expected move. view: movers, unusual (turnover far above open interest or liquidity), closing (inside 24h), whales (large fills: Polymarket with the wallet, its name and its open position and P&L; Kalshi by size, it publishes no identity), history (24h of implied medians and leaders, 5-minute steps). event for one event in full; query searches both venues live. ⚠ A yes price is a probability only while someone is quoting (priced, tight). ⚠ stale true means the watch has not refreshed in five minutes. Read from the venues' public market data, never from inside the Robinhood app. Nothing here is a recommendation. Requires a live NoVo MCP & API subscription.