Oil production scenario
oil_scenarioRuns one preset Saudi production path through the model and returns what it implies: Brent by month for 24 months and by year to 2050, Saudi crude exports, oil revenue, the fiscal balance against the IMF breakeven, market share, spare capacity, the net present value of revenue and the US shale response, with the difference from holding current policy. preset: hold, gradual, accelerated, deeperCut or marketShare. shocks: any of hormuz, recession, chinaSlowdown, hurricane, and {iran|russia|venezuela}-{tighten|ease}. demandScenario: iea-cps, iea-steps, iea-aps, iea-nze, opec-woo or eia-ieo. Modelled scenario analysis under stated assumptions; it describes paths and never recommends one.
Tool call template
This tool declares no required parameters. Add optional parameters from the input schema as needed.
{
"id": 1,
"jsonrpc": "2.0",
"method": "tools/call",
"params": {
"arguments": {},
"name": "oil_scenario"
}
}Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| preset | No | Default hold | |
| shocks | No | Shock toggles | |
| anchored | No | Default true: the near-term price is the EIA outlook blended with the futures strip plus the model’s counterfactual delta for this path; false runs the unanchored structural model from today’s price | |
| discountRate | No | For the NPV; default 0.08 | |
| demandScenario | No | Long-term demand path; default iea-steps |