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Glama

Helious market intelligence

Fed rate cut and hike odds

get_rate_odds
Read-onlyIdempotent

The odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut or hike at each remaining FOMC meeting, priced from fed funds futures. THIS IS THE TOOL for 'what are the odds of a cut in September', 'is the Fed cutting', 'what is priced in for the next meeting' or 'how many cuts this year'. Gives the probability per meeting, the implied effective rate after each one, and the total move priced across the whole path. Computed by Helious from settlement prices against the effective fed funds rate, not the target midpoint.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.4/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate readOnly and non-destructive. The description adds context about how the data is computed (from settlement prices against effective fed funds rate) and what is included, though it doesn't mention any potential side effects, which aligns with readOnly.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness3/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is somewhat redundant, repeating 'priced from fed funds futures' and 'effective fed funds rate' in similar phrasing. It could be more concise without losing meaning.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description adequately explains the return value: probability per meeting, implied effective rate after each, and total move across the path. This is sufficient for a no-parameter tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool has zero parameters, so the baseline is 4. The description adds no parameter details, but none are needed.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool provides Fed rate cut/hike odds for FOMC meetings, derived from fed funds futures. It distinguishes itself from sibling tools like get_rates_and_curve by specifying the odds/probability focus.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states 'THIS IS THE TOOL for' and provides concrete example queries (e.g., 'what are the odds of a cut in September'), which gives clear guidance on when to use it.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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