Fed rate cut and hike odds
get_rate_oddsThe odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut or hike at each remaining FOMC meeting, priced from fed funds futures. THIS IS THE TOOL for 'what are the odds of a cut in September', 'is the Fed cutting', 'what is priced in for the next meeting' or 'how many cuts this year'. Gives the probability per meeting, the implied effective rate after each one, and the total move priced across the whole path. Computed by Helious from settlement prices against the effective fed funds rate, not the target midpoint.
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