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Oracle: public Brier track record (free)

oracle_track_record
Read-onlyIdempotent

How good the oracle has been: Brier score overall and by domain (0.25 = coin flip, 0.15 = good human forecaster, 0.10 = superforecaster), oracle vs. market Brier and beat_market_rate on questions that had a Polymarket price, mean absolute edge, and the 20 most recent commitments (id, probability, hash, outcome). Free. Use it to decide how much to trust oracle_forecast / oracle_board. Use to audit the oracle's public accuracy (free).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. Added

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and non-destructive, so the safety profile is covered. The description adds that the record is public and free and enumerates the returned fields, which helps an agent judge the trustworthiness of other oracle calls; it does not describe update cadence or how the 20 commitments are ordered beyond 'most recent'.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Front-loaded with the metric list and the interpretability scale, which is exactly what an agent needs first. The trailing audit sentence duplicates the earlier guidance and the title already says 'free', so there is minor wasted verbiage.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, so the description carries the burden of explaining return values, and it does so by naming the metrics and the commitment fields (id, probability, hash, outcome). It is complete enough to call and interpret, with only minor gaps such as aggregation windows or freshness.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool takes zero parameters, which is the baseline-4 case. The description correctly implies a no-argument call ('How good the oracle has been'), so nothing is missing here.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Names the specific resource (the oracle's public track record) and enumerates the exact metrics returned: Brier overall and by domain, oracle vs. market Brier, beat_market_rate, mean absolute edge, and the 20 most recent commitments. It also anchors the scoring scale (0.25 coin flip, 0.15 good human, 0.10 superforecaster), so an agent knows precisely what it is reading.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly says to use it 'to decide how much to trust oracle_forecast / oracle_board' and to 'audit the oracle's public accuracy', which names the sibling tools and the decision context. The closing '(free)' audit sentence largely restates the opening guidance, so it is clear but slightly redundant rather than a crisp when/when-not split.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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