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get_forecast

Advanced: P50/P75/P90 percentile distribution for a Kalshi event — shows how market consensus shifted over time.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoDays of history (default 7)
apiKeyYesSimpleFunctions API key (needed for authenticated Kalshi calls). Get one at https://simplefunctions.dev/dashboard/keys
eventTickerYesKalshi event ticker (e.g. KXWTIMAX-26DEC31)

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A3.5/5.0
Behavior3/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

With no annotations, the description carries the burden of disclosing behavior. It explains what the tool returns (percentile distribution over time) but does not explicitly state read-only nature, side effects, or rate limits. It adds some value beyond the schema by describing the output concept.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is a single, efficient sentence that conveys the core idea. The 'Advanced:' label is slightly unnecessary but does not undermine clarity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's moderate complexity and no output schema, the description sufficiently explains the high-level function. It does not detail return formatting, but the percentile distribution concept is clear enough for selection.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so a baseline of 3 applies. The description does not add semantic details for the parameters beyond what the schema already provides, but it does mention 'over time' which relates to the days parameter.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool provides P50/P75/P90 percentile distributions for a Kalshi event, which is a specific verb+resource combination. It distinguishes itself from sibling tools like get_market_history by focusing on percentile consensus shifts.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines2/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description offers no explicit guidance on when to use this tool versus alternatives. The prefix 'Advanced' hints at a target audience but does not provide context for selection or exclusions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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