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Wiktionary

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Description goes far beyond annotations, detailing the scanning logic (monotonicity violations, partition_check), semantic anchor (Jaccard similarity), partition filter (placeholder slug handling), and fill check (realizable vs theoretical edge). Behavioral traits like read-only idempotent checks are consistent with annotations, no contradictions.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Description is comprehensive but slightly verbose; however, every sentence adds value. Structured with clear sections (SEMANTIC ANCHOR, PARTITION FILTER, FILL CHECK). A minor reduction could improve conciseness without losing clarity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (two modes, lack of output schema, multiple internal checks), the description covers all essential aspects: response structure, fill risk, filters, and mode-specific behavior. No gaps in context for an AI agent to use it correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Even though schema coverage is 100%, the description adds rich meaning: for 'event', explains it walks child markets and performs date-axis/threshold-axis checks; for 'topic', explains cross-event scanning with similarity threshold. It also notes that full Polymarket URLs are accepted for event, which schema does not specify.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description clearly states it finds arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations and partition-sum checks. It specifies the resource and distinct operation: 'Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket'. The two modes (event and topic) are clearly differentiated, and the tool stands out from sibling tools like polymarket_edges or polymarket_fill_risk.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states when to use each parameter: call with NO args for trending scan, 'event' for a specific market, 'topic' for cross-event scanning. Provides practical usage tips, e.g., 'event (recommended for a specific market)', and explains when cross-event mode catches patterns single-event misses. Also includes warnings about fill check and partition filter.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

B3.1/5.0
Disambiguation1/5

The toolset is overwhelmingly fragmented: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are near-identical entry points; polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, and polymarket_fill_risk heavily overlap; and ai_visibility_check vs scan_competitor_ai_presence cover the same task. The five actual Wiktionary tools are distinct but are lost among dozens of unrelated research and prediction-market tools, making selection highly ambiguous.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names use snake_case and several logical prefixes (ask_pipeworx, polymarket_, pipeworx_) create local patterns. However, the naming mixes noun-style commands (definition, etymology, pronunciations, summary) with verb-style commands (search, remember, forget, validate_claim), and no consistent verb_noun convention carries across the whole set.

Tool Count1/5

36 tools is already heavy, but the deeper problem is that only 5 tools actually belong to a Wiktionary server while 31 tools serve unrelated Pipeworx, Polymarket, memory, and marketing-audit functions. The count is wildly inappropriate for the declared server purpose.

Completeness2/5

The Wiktionary-relevant tools cover basic word lookup—search, summary, definition, etymology, pronunciations—but omit common dictionary operations like translations, usage examples, inflected forms, or random entries. The non-Wiktionary majority does not fill these gaps; it just makes the surface area incoherent and hard to reason about.

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