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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

TDQS

A4.4/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description discloses several important behaviors: data comes from daily snapshots, history limited by 60-day TTL and snapshot enablement date, decay computed from daily closes (not intraday), and gaps in snapshot_dates mean no scan occurred. This information goes well beyond the annotations' readOnly/idempotent hints, providing the agent with a thorough understanding of data semantics and limitations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense but well-structured, front-loading the core purpose and then covering arguments, response format, and limitations. While somewhat long, each section adds necessary detail, and the logical flow makes it easy to follow.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description thoroughly explains the response structure: tracked[] with time-series and trend, expired[] with lifespan, and snapshot_dates[] with gap meaning. It also covers computational basis and data availability limits, making it complete for an agent to use correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The schema already documents both parameters with clear descriptions and defaults ('Lookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30)' and 'Which polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo'). The description's 'Args' section largely repeats this information, adding no new parameter-specific semantics beyond what the schema provides.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description explicitly states the tool's function: 'Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots' and poses a specific question it answers. This clearly differentiates it from sibling tools like polymarket_edges (which likely provides current edges) by focusing on historical persistence and trend analysis.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides clear context by explaining that 'a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades,' implying this tool is used when evaluating edge age before trading. However, it does not explicitly name alternative tools or state when not to use it, so it lacks explicit exclusions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Several tools overlap: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, and deep_research all serve as query routers, with the beta variant currently identical to the stable one. However, most other tools have clearly distinct purposes (memory, subscriptions, prediction market analytics), and the detailed descriptions help differentiate them.

Naming Consistency4/5

All tool names use snake_case and are descriptive, with consistent domain prefixes like pipeworx_ for meta tools and polymarket_ for prediction markets. Some names mix noun-phrase and verb-noun patterns (e.g., ai_visibility_check vs. resolve_entity), but the overall style is predictable and readable.

Tool Count2/5

With 31 tools, the server exceeds the 25-tool threshold for a coherent set. While the broad scope (data querying, prediction markets, memory, subscriptions, AI visibility) justifies many tools, the sheer number creates cognitive load and makes selection harder for agents.

Completeness4/5

The tool surface is quite comprehensive for its domains: querying has ask_pipeworx, grounded answer, deep research, entity profiles, comparisons, and claim validation; prediction markets have research, arbitrage, edge tracking, and fill risk; memory and subscription lifecycles are covered. Minor gaps exist (e.g., no subscription update) but are workable.