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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate read-only, open-world, and idempotent; description adds rich behavioral detail: walks the order ladder, returns specific data fields (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage, shares_filled, etc.), and warns about risks (thin_legs, forced_directional_risk). No contradictions.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Well-structured with clear sections (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET) and bolded keywords. Slightly verbose but each sentence adds value; no fluff.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Despite no output schema, the description fully enumerates return fields for both modes, explains edge cases (thin books, partial fills), and provides rationale for usage. Complete for a pre-trade risk check tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema covers 100% of parameter descriptions, but the tool description adds contextual meaning beyond schema (e.g., size_usd interpretation for buys vs sells, basket auto-side logic, mutual exclusivity of market/event). Minor improvement over baseline.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Clearly states it performs a realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB depth. Distinguishes between single-market and basket modes, and explicitly contrasts with sibling tools by noting it is a pre-trade risk check.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit usage instruction: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' Also explains rationale and constraints (mutual exclusion of market/event, defaults, clamping).

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are essentially the same router with different output modes, and ask_pipeworx_beta is currently identical to ask_pipeworx. There is also meaningful overlap between entity_profile, compare_entities, recent_changes, validate_claim, and the USAspending profile/search tools.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names are lower_snake_case with useful prefixes like ask_, polymarket_, and usa_, which helps grouping. However, the underlying convention is mixed: some are verb+object, some are noun phrases, and some are bare verbs, so there is no uniform verb_noun pattern.

Tool Count2/5

38 tools is well beyond the heavy range, and most of them are unrelated to USAspending: Polymarket betting, npm dependency checks, AI visibility, memory storage, and meta-tools. The actual USAspending-specific surface is only about seven tools, making the server feel bloated and unfocused.

Completeness3/5

The federal-contract cluster covers award search, recipient/incumbent profiles, expiring awards, and spending by agency/category/trend, which handles the main contracting questions. Missing award-detail retrieval, grants/assistance coverage, and open-solicitation lookup, which usa_expiring_awards explicitly punts to external samgov/govcon tools.