Skip to main content
Glama

Polymarket–Kalshi Spread

polymarket_kalshi_spread
Read-onlyIdempotent

Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. The two venues sometimes price the same outcome 2-25pp apart because their participant pools differ — when the bet shapes are equivalent that delta is a real signal, when they aren't the tool says so. TWO MODES: (1) topic — 10 pre-mapped macro shortcuts ("fed", "btc", "cpi", "gdp", "sp500", "recession", "next_pope", "next_uk_pm", "next_israel_pm", "2028_president") auto-fetch the matching event on each venue. (2) explicit kalshi_event_ticker + polymarket_event_slug for custom pairings — BOTH modes run the identical token-overlap matcher, so the same disclosures apply to both. RESPONSE: each venue's leg-by-leg prices (raw probability 0-1) plus matched spread[].top_spreads_pp (Kalshi − Polymarket) where the same outcome shows up on both sides. SAFETY FIELDS: compatibility_warning is a sentence and compatibility_codes[] the machine-readable form; BOTH can be non-empty on returned pairs, so read them even when matched_pairs>0. Codes: event_subject_mismatch (the two event titles share no subject words — probably not the same question), temporal_mismatch (they resolve in different months), temporal_alignment_unknown (the resolution month could not be parsed on one or both sides — NOT the same as confirmed-aligned; check each event's close/strike date yourself), non_equivalent_bet_shapes, no_candidate_pairs, unclassified_legs_excluded, pairing_unverified (set in EITHER mode whenever pairs are returned: the legs were matched by keyword and word overlap, not a shared resolution source). Each entry in top_spreads_pp carries its own flags[] (temporal_mismatch, temporal_alignment_unknown, event_subject_mismatch, low_token_overlap). A leg whose metric_type or match_subtype is "unknown" is NEVER paired — those comparisons land in spread.skipped_unclassified and, when the wording lined up, in spread.low_confidence_pairs[] for inspection only. temporal_alignment{polymarket_month,kalshi_month,aligned} tells you whether the two events resolve in the same calendar period, in EITHER mode; null means it could not be computed (see temporal_alignment_unknown), not that the two sides align. spread.fees_note is a standing disclosure: Kalshi charges per-contract trading fees, Polymarket does not, and this tool does not model Kalshi's fee schedule — every spread_pp is gross, not a net tradeable edge. skipped_cross_type / skipped_cross_subtype counters expose how many leg-pair comparisons were dropped (cross-type = metric_type mismatch like MoM vs YoY; cross-subtype = inequality mismatch like cum_ge vs cum_le). Real cross-venue spreads are rarer than the macro-shortcut list suggests — most pre-mapped topics return compatibility_warning today; pre-mapped ≠ tradeable.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
topicNoPre-mapped: fed | btc | cpi | gdp | sp500 | recession | next_pope | next_uk_pm | next_israel_pm | 2028_president
kalshi_event_tickerNoExplicit Kalshi event ticker, e.g. "KXFED-26OCT". Overrides the topic-mapped Kalshi side.
polymarket_event_slugNoExplicit Polymarket event slug, e.g. "fed-decision-in-june-825". Overrides the topic-mapped Polymarket side.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.2/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

With readOnlyHint true and idempotentHint true already covering safety, the description goes well beyond annotations by explaining fees are not modeled, spreads are gross rather than net, compatibility codes can be non-empty even when matched_pairs>0, and unknown legs are never paired. It even warns that temporal_alignment_unknown is not the same as confirmed alignment, which prevents a likely misinterpretation. This is a model of behavioral disclosure.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness3/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is information-dense and every sentence contributes, but it is exceptionally long and packed into dense paragraphs without bullet formatting or clear visual separation between modes, safety fields, and response semantics. Front-loading is good—the core purpose appears first—but the sheer volume makes it harder for an agent to parse quickly. It could benefit from structured lists or headers.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

There is no output schema, so the description carries full responsibility for explaining return semantics, and it does so thoroughly: leg-by-leg prices, top_spreads_pp, compatibility_warning, compatibility_codes, flags, skipped counters, and fees_note are all explained. The description also covers edge cases such as unclassified legs, temporal alignment uncertainty, and the non-tradeable nature of many pre-mapped topics. Nothing essential to calling the tool correctly is missing.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3, but the description adds significant parameter-level meaning by explaining that 'topic' activates pre-mapped shortcuts while explicit ticker/slug parameters create custom pairings, and that both modes run the identical matcher. It also clarifies that kalshi_event_ticker and polymarket_event_slug override the topic-mapped side, which complements the schema's brief 'Overrides' notes. This moves the score above baseline.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens by stating the tool computes 'Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question,' naming both the resource and the comparison it performs. It lacks an explicit verb like 'calculate' or 'fetch,' but the meaning is unambiguous. It also implicitly differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage by emphasizing the cross-venue nature, though it does not name a specific sibling.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description clearly explains two distinct usage modes: 'topic' shortcuts for pre-mapped events and explicit ticker/slug pairings for custom comparisons, with the schema noting overrides. It also gives practical guidance that pre-mapped topics frequently return compatibility warnings and are not necessarily tradeable. It does not explicitly state when to choose this tool over related siblings like polymarket_arbitrage, but the mode-selection guidance is strong and actionable.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

Try in Browser

Glama MCP Gateway

Add one secure layer between your agents and this server.

TDQS

A3.5/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tool families heavily overlap: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, discover_tools, and suggest_questions all serve 'find/query Pipeworx data' with blurry boundaries, and the six Polymarket tools (bet_research, polymarket_edges, polymarket_edge_tracker, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_fill_risk, polymarket_kalshi_spread) have overlapping purposes. An agent could easily pick the wrong one without reading every description.

Naming Consistency3/5

Most tools follow snake_case verb_noun patterns (list_dataflows, get_data, compare_entities, resolve_entity), and families share prefixes (pipeworx_*, polymarket_*, ask_pipeworx_*). However, the server is named 'Unicef' while almost all tool names reference Pipeworx/Polymarket, and verb choices vary widely, so the overall set lacks a unified naming story.

Tool Count1/5

34 tools is already on the high side, but the real problem is scope: only 3 tools (list_dataflows, dataflow_structure, get_data) relate to the server's stated UNICEF purpose, while the other 31 are an unrelated grab bag of Pipeworx research, prediction-market betting, memory utilities, npm scanning, and llms.txt generation. This is a severe mismatch between count and purpose.

Completeness2/5

For the UNICEF domain implied by the server name, the surface is minimal: browse, structure, and fetch data cover read-only access but nothing else, and the overwhelming majority of tools are off-domain. If the inferred domain is instead 'Pipeworx + prediction markets', coverage is broad, but then the server name is fundamentally misleading and the UNICEF subset is an incomplete afterthought.