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tle

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Bet Research

bet_research
Read-onlyIdempotent

Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call. Pass a market slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), a polymarket.com URL, or a question text. The tool resolves the market, classifies the bet, fans out to category-specific data packs in parallel, and returns an evidence packet + simple market-vs-model comparison. Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z". CLASSIFIERS: crypto_price, fed_rate, geopolitical, sports, sports_championship, drug_approval, election_candidate, tech_launch, space_launch, corporate, corporate_earnings, corporate_event, public_figure_speech, weather, other. FAN-OUT EXAMPLES: BTC bet → coingecko + fred + gdelt+gnews; Fed bet → fred (DFEDTARU + EFFR + CPIAUCSL) + kalshi_macro (KXFED implied probs) + recent_fed_actions (federal-register rules, last 365d); Hormuz bet → imf_portwatch + airspace + gdelt; Yankees WS → mlb_stats_standings + parent_event partition + news; hottest-year bet → climate_projection_nyc + gistemp_latest (NASA global anomaly, rank since 1880) + news; NVDA-vs-AAPL → finnhub get_quote + edgar shares-outstanding (derived market cap) + edgar filings + news. RESPONSE SHAPES: result.market carries best_bid/best_ask/spread_pp/liquidity/price_change_1h/1d/1w; result.analysis carries model_probability/edge_pp/kelly_fraction_half when a closed-form model fires PLUS a 24h-move warning ("Market moved X.Xpp in 24h, comparable to model edge — your edge may already be priced in") when relevant; result.evidence is keyed by source. RESOLVER CONTRACT: result.market_match_confidence ∈ {high, medium, low, none}, market_match_score (0-1 token-overlap), market_match_alternatives[] (other candidate markets the resolver considered), and suggestions[] (explicit re-query hints when the match is fuzzy) — ALWAYS inspect these before trusting the analysis block, because medium/low matches can still surface other fields. PARENT_EVENT EXTRACTOR: when the bet is one leg of a partition (Yankees WS, Romania election), result.parent_event{matched_candidate, top_legs_by_price[], partition_size, placeholders_filtered} gives you the peer prices in one place — that's the headline for elections/championships. NEWS FIELDS: news entries carry _fallback_attempted / _fallback_failed_reason / retry_after_sec when GDELT 429s and GNews backfill ran or failed. SAFETY: low-confidence resolutions short-circuit with status:"low_confidence_match" and suppress analysis fields so agents can't accidentally size on phantom matches. Closed/dead markets that ARE still indexed by Polymarket (yes_price≈0, no volume, no liquidity) return status:"market_closed_or_inactive" and skip fan-out. In practice resolved markets are usually de-indexed and instead surface via the low_confidence_match path above — both routes are BLOCKING, just different mechanisms. Wide-spread markets (>10pp) carry tradeability:"illiquid_wide_spread" + an explanatory note. RESOLUTION-RULE RISK: market.cancellation_rule parses the void/postponement settlement out of the resolution text — refund_50_50 (shares settle flat 50¢ on void; EV-material for any entry away from 50¢, with ev_impact quantified), resolves_no_on_cancel, resolves_yes_on_cancel, carries_to_reschedule, or mentioned_unclear. null means the description never mentions cancellation. Check this before sizing sports/esports/event-occurrence bets — audited arb-bot ledgers show flat-50¢ void settlements are a recurring pure-rules loss.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNoquick = 2-3 evidence sources, thorough = full fan-out. Default thorough.
marketYesPolymarket slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), full URL ("https://polymarket.com/event/..."), or question text ("Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30?")
include_rawNoDefault false. When false (recommended), FRED/FDA/GDELT/Federal-Register evidence is summarized to the few fields agents actually use — keeps responses under ~20KB. Pass true to get full upstream payloads (50KB-500KB) when you need to recompute deltas, cite specific observations, or post-process.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark read-only, open-world, idempotent, non-destructive. The description adds substantial behavioral detail beyond annotations: resolver confidence levels, low-confidence short-circuit behavior, closed-market status codes, wide-spread illiquidity flags, news fallback mechanics, and resolution-rule risk (e.g., flat-50¢ void refunds). This is rich, actionable context for invoking the tool safely.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but tightly organized with section headers (CLASSIFIERS, FAN-OUT EXAMPLES, RESPONSE SHAPES, RESOLVER CONTRACT, etc.) and every sentence carries domain-specific value. It's not concise in word count, but for a complex tool with many behavioral nuances, the structure makes it navigable and information-dense.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, so the description must fully explain return values—and it does. It covers result.market fields, result.analysis edge metrics, evidence keying, resolver contract with confidence levels and alternatives, parent_event extractor for partitioned events, news fallback fields, safety statuses for low-confidence and closed markets, and cancellation-rule risk. Nothing critical is missing.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema covers 100% of parameters with descriptions. The description adds semantic depth for the 'market' parameter (accepted formats and resolver behavior) and explains include_raw's trade-off between summarized evidence and full payloads. It clarifies the fan-out logic but doesn't add much beyond the schema for 'depth'.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description states a specific verb+resource: 'Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call.' It clearly defines the input (slug, URL, or question text) and output (evidence packet + market-vs-model comparison), distinguishing it from sibling tools like arbitrage or edge tracking.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly says 'Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z"' and provides concrete fan-out examples for different bet types. It doesn't explicitly state when NOT to use it or name alternatives, but the context is clear enough for an agent to select it appropriately.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Most tools have clearly distinct jobs, but ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, and deep_research are overlapping query/research entry points—and ask_pipeworx_beta is currently identical to ask_pipeworx. Similarly, ai_visibility_check and scan_competitor_ai_presence overlap by composition. The descriptions are detailed enough to choose correctly with care, but the boundaries are not always crisp.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names use lowercase snake_case, which keeps the surface readable, but the naming conventions are mixed: some are imperative verbs (get_tle, list_recent, validate_claim), some are noun phrases (entity_profile, recent_alerts, pipeworx_trending), and several use domain prefixes without a clear verb (polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges). This is still discoverable naming, but it does not follow a consistent verb_noun pattern.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is well beyond the well-scoped range, and the vast majority belong to a broad Pipeworx research/prediction-market platform rather than the server's apparent 'tle' satellite theme. Only get_tle, list_recent, and search_satellites directly match the server name. It feels like several tool surfaces aggregated into one server rather than one coherent product.

Completeness3/5

For the satellite TLE theme, NORAD lookup, name search, and recent-catalog listing are covered, but orbit propagation, pass prediction, and historical TLE data are missing. For the broader data-research surface, coverage is rich—query, grounded answers, entity resolution, comparison, validation, subscriptions, and memory are all present—so agents have workable paths for most tasks, but the server's mixed scope creates obvious thematic gaps.

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