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Tiingo

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Changed1 schema field changed
    • removedInput schema / anyOf
      Removed value: -[
-  {
-    "required": [
-      "event"
-    ]
-  },
-  {
-    "required": [
-      "topic"
-    ]
-  }
-]
  2. Changed3 schema fields changed
    • addedInput schema / anyOf
      Added value: +[
+  {
+    "required": [
+      "event"
+    ]
+  },
+  {
+    "required": [
+      "topic"
+    ]
+  }
+]
    • changedInput schema / properties / event / description
      Previous value: -"Single-event mode: Polymarket event slug (e.g. \"when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k\") or full URL."New value: +"Single-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like \"fed-decision-may-2026\" or \"when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k\". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted."
    • changedInput schema / properties / topic / description
      Previous value: -"Cross-event mode: a topic or seed question. Tool searches Polymarket for related markets across separate events and checks monotonicity across them. E.g. \"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\"."New value: +"Cross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like \"Fed rate decision\" or \"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them."
  3. First observed

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true and idempotentHint=true, and the description adds extensive behavioral context: no-arg behavior (top ~200 markets), semantic Jaccard threshold 0.30, placeholder partition filtering (>20% returns null), and fill check comparing theoretical vs realizable edge with explicit 'do not trade it' guidance. This goes far beyond the annotations' safety profile.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but information-dense, with every section earning its place: modes, semantic anchor, partition filter, response format, fill check, and cross-tool reference. It is front-loaded with the core purpose and logically organized, though a bit verbose.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

There is no output schema, so the description correctly specifies return values ('opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning...)' and 'partition_check{...}'). It also covers edge cases (placeholder fraction >20% yields null), explains how to interpret fill-check results, and points to an alternative tool for custom sizing. Comprehensive for the tool's complexity.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema descriptions already cover both params with mode explanations (100% coverage). The description adds value beyond the schema with concrete examples like 'fed-decision-may-2026', clarifies that full URLs are accepted, and explains behavioral implications for each mode. However, the schema already carries the primary semantic load, so a 4 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

States 'Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks' – specific verb, resource, and method. This clearly differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_edges by naming the unique detection approach and its scope.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit mode guidance: 'Call with NO args for a trending_scan', 'pass event for...', 'topic for...'. Also directs 'For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk' as an alternative. This is explicit when-to-use guidance plus an explicit alternative tool.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Multiple tools have overlapping purposes: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded differ only in mode; several Polymarket tools (polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges, polymarket_fill_risk, bet_research) target related opportunities; ai_visibility_check and scan_competitor_ai_presence overlap. The meta-tools (discover_tools, suggest_questions, pipeworx_trending) could also be confused for one another.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names are lowercase snake_case, which is consistent, but patterns vary: some are verb_noun (ask_pipeworx, resolve_entity, validate_claim), others are noun (news, crypto_prices, stock_metadata), and several use brand prefixes (pipeworx_*, polymarket_*). This mixed convention is readable but not predictable.

Tool Count2/5

35 tools is too many for a coherent, well-scoped server. The set bundles a financial data API (Tiingo) with a generic data router (ask_pipeworx), prediction-market tools, memory utilities, subscription management, and npm checks — many unrelated to the server's apparent purpose, making it feel bloated.

Completeness2/5

For a Tiingo server, core data coverage is limited to stock prices, stock metadata, crypto prices, and news — missing real-time quotes, fundamentals, forex, technical indicators, and other typical Tiingo endpoints. Conversely, the general Pipeworx platform has broad query/research/subscription coverage but that domain doesn't align with the server name, leaving significant functional gaps.

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