Skip to main content
Glama

Statec Lu

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Edges

polymarket_edges
Read-onlyIdempotent

Scan top Polymarket markets and return opportunities where Pipeworx data disagrees with market price. Built for "what should I bet on today" — agents discover opportunities without paging hundreds of markets. FIVE MODEL FAMILIES grouped into three response segments under by_segment: (1) MODEL_DRIVEN — crypto_price (lognormal barrier from 90d FRED log-returns) and news_momentum (GDELT 7d/21d article-volume ratio, soft signal w/ halved Kelly). (2) STRUCTURAL_ARBITRAGE — partition_overround on mutually-exclusive events; per-leg favorite-longshot bias correction with per-sport α (tennis 1.02, soccer 1.10, MMA 1.15, default 1.0); placeholder-slug filter drops will-person-X / will-team-Y / will-manager-Z / will-someone-else- backstops; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction skipped entirely. (3) CONCENTRATED_LONGSHOT — basket trade when one leg ≥75% AND ≥2 longshots ≤8% AND portfolio return ≥25:1; rare-by-design (gates relaxed Run 8 from prior 85%/5%/50:1). EVERY OPPORTUNITY carries edge_pp_net (after slippage), kelly_fraction + kelly_fraction_half (capped at 0.25), market.liquidity, market.spread_pp, market.volume, plus a 24h-move warning ("Market moved X.Xpp in 24h") when the recent move alone exceeds the edge — your edge may already be in the price. TRADEABLE-EDGE KNOBS: min_liquidity / max_spread_pp drop opportunities where edge isn't realizable; min_partition_leg_kelly filters partitions by best per-leg Kelly. RESPONSE TOP-LEVEL: by_segment{model_driven,structural_arbitrage,concentrated_longshot}, fed_candidates/fed_note (Fed bets surface here, excluded from ranking — 1m-T vs EFFR signal is unreliable at meeting-month horizons without paid OIS/SOFR-futures data), and _diagnostics{concentrated_longshot:{...funnel counters},category_counts,filter_skips} so callers can see WHY a segment is empty (top-N stale, all candidates failed gates, knob dropped them). Cached 1h at the KV level keyed on all knobs.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
limitNoTop N edges to return after ranking. Default 10, max 25.
windowNoPolymarket volume window to filter markets. Default 1wk.
min_kellyNoMinimum half-Kelly fraction (as decimal, e.g. 0.005 = 0.5% of bankroll) to include single-leg opportunities. Default 0 (no filter). Skips opportunities that are too small to bet sensibly even if the edge is large.
min_edge_ppNoMinimum |edge| in percentage points to include (default 0.5). Edge is evaluated NET of slippage.
slippage_ppNoAssumed execution slippage in percentage points per leg (default 0.3). Subtracted from raw |edge| before ranking and Kelly sizing. Polymarket has zero trading fees as of 2024 but bid/ask + thin depth typically eats 20-50bp per trade. Bump for very thin partitions; drop to 0 if you have a smarter fill model.
max_spread_ppNoTradeable-edge filter. Maximum bid/ask spread in percentage points on the representative market. Default null (no filter). Set to 2 to require tight books — anything wider eats most plausible edges.
min_liquidityNoTradeable-edge filter. Minimum $ liquidity on the representative market (or for partition_overround, on at least one top_leg). Default 0 (no filter). Set to 5000 to drop thin-book opportunities where executing the edge would walk the book past breakeven.
category_filterNoComma-separated list to restrict the output: "model_driven" (crypto_price + news_momentum), "structural_arbitrage" (partition_overround), "concentrated_longshot". Combine like "model_driven,structural_arbitrage". Default: all.
min_partition_leg_kellyNoMinimum BEST per-leg half-Kelly fraction across a partition_overround opportunity's top_legs (or longshot_basket legs). Default 0 (no filter). Partition arbs always return kelly_fraction_half=0 at the parent level by design (basket trades don't compose to single-leg Kelly), so min_kelly never filters them — this knob applies to the per-leg Kelly inside top_legs instead. Use to suppress thin partitions whose individual leg edges aren't worth the per-leg slippage cost.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=true, and destructiveHint=false. The description adds substantial behavioral detail: 1h KV caching keyed on knobs, the structure of by_segment responses, diagnostics explaining empty segments, model family mechanics, and caveats like the 24h-move warning. This far exceeds what annotations alone provide.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness3/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is a dense block of text with ALL CAPS section headers; it is not concise. While it is logically organized (purpose, model families, response keys, knobs), the sheer length and detail make it less accessible than a trimmed version would be. It is not a tautology, but it sacrifices conciseness for depth.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description fully accounts for the response shape: by_segment top-level keys, _diagnostics for debugging, and fed_candidates/fed_note. It also explains why segments may be empty (top-N stale, gate failures, knob filters) and discusses model-specific methodology. For a complex tool with 9 knobs, this is comprehensive.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The input schema already covers all 9 parameters with 100% coverage, but the description adds meaning by explaining how knobs interact: e.g., min_partition_leg_kelly applies to per-leg Kelly inside partitions because parent-level kelly_fraction_half is always 0 by design. It also explains tradeable-edge filters (min_liquidity/max_spread_pp) as execution-feed constraints. This goes beyond the schema's standalone descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The opening sentence states 'Scan top Polymarket markets and return opportunities where Pipeworx data disagrees with market price,' which is a specific verb+resource+scope. It also frames the tool for 'what should I bet on today' and distinguishes it from siblings by focusing on Pipeworx data disagreements rather than pure arbitrage or fill risk.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states the intended use case ('what should I bet on today') and notes that it avoids paging hundreds of markets. It also identifies exclusions (Fed bets are unreliable and excluded from ranking) and explains relevant knobs for filtering tradeable edges, but it does not name alternative sibling tools for explicit when-not-to-use guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

All Statec Lu toolsInspect
Try in Browser
RayrunBuild, deploy, and operate MCP servers without becoming an infrastructure team.ray.runAd

Glama MCP Gateway

Add one secure layer between your agents and this server.

TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Multiple tools have blurry boundaries: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are near-identical (beta is explicitly 'exactly' the stable version), and ai_visibility_check vs scan_competitor_ai_presence is a single-vs-batch duplicate. The six polymarket_* tools are differentiated by long descriptions, but their overlapping concerns (edges, arbitrage, fill risk, spread) would frequently misroute an agent, and discover_tools vs suggest_questions also compete.

Naming Consistency3/5

Names follow two coexisting conventions: verb_noun for actions (get_data, resolve_entity, validate_claim) and domain-prefixed families (polymarket_*, pipeworx_*, ask_pipeworx_*). Within each family the pattern is consistent, but mixing the two styles across the set, plus outliers like generate_llms_txt and bare verbs (remember, forget, recall), makes the overall scheme feel uneven though still readable.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is well past the 'heavy' threshold and the count is not justified by the server's stated identity: a server named 'Statec Lu' (Luxembourg statistics) contains only 3 STATEC tools buried among general data-platform, prediction-market, AI-visibility, npm-scanning, and memory utilities. The sprawling, multi-domain surface would be more coherent split into separate servers.

Completeness3/5

The STATEC subset is complete (list_dataflows → dataflow_structure → get_data forms a full browse/fetch lifecycle), and the broader research surface covers entity resolution, grounded answers, comparison, claim verification, and subscription/alert/memory management. However, the overall domain is incoherent—a STATEC server missing nothing for statistics but carrying 31 unrelated tools—and there are notable gaps such as no tool to directly fetch a pipeworx:// citation URI and no execution side for the extensive Polymarket analysis tools.

Resources