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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true, and destructiveHint=false. The description adds substantial behavioral context beyond annotations: it walks the order-book ladder, returns detailed fill metrics (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd), and warns about partial basket fills causing unhedged directional positions.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense but well-structured: it leads with a one-sentence summary, then clearly separates SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, and USE THIS sections. Every sentence provides necessary information about modes, parameters, return fields, or usage guidance. Despite its length, it earns every word.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

There is no output schema, so the description must explain return values, which it does comprehensively: top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict, theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk. It fully covers the tool's behavior in both modes.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, but the description adds significant meaning beyond the schema. It clarifies that market and event are mutually exclusive modes, explains how size_usd is interpreted differently in single-market vs basket mode, and how side defaults are computed in basket mode. This is valuable context the schema alone does not provide.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb and resource: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It clearly distinguishes this tool from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by focusing on fill risk and order-book depth.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states when to use this tool: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains why (theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, partial fills create unhedged directional risk).

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Multiple tools have overlapping purposes: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are near-identical in scope, and the prediction-market tools (bet_research, polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_fill_risk) share similar functions. While some tools are distinct, the boundaries between many are unclear.

Naming Consistency2/5

Names mix product-like identifiers (ask_pipeworx, deep_research), descriptive nouns (entity_profile, subjects), and inconsistent verb forms (query_table, resolve_entity, scan_competitor_ai_presence). No consistent verb_noun pattern is maintained across the set.

Tool Count2/5

With 34 tools, the server is overpopulated relative to its apparent purpose. The name 'Statbank Md' suggests a narrow statistical service, but only 3 tools are Statbank-specific; the rest form a sprawling general-purpose data toolkit. The count is far beyond what the core function needs.

Completeness3/5

For the Statbank subset, the surface is complete (browse subjects, get metadata, query data). As a general data research suite, it covers many domains (SEC, FDA, economics, prediction markets) but lacks execution/trading tools for prediction markets and has no bulk data export or analytics beyond excerpts. Notable gaps exist but many core workflows are covered.