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by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations declare readOnly/openWorld/idempotent, so the bar is lower, but the description adds extensive behavioral details: the >3pp signal threshold, the Jaccard similarity anchor (≥0.30), the placeholder filter (>20% returns null), and the fill check with 'realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means do not trade it'. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured with uppercase section labels (SEMANTIC ANCHOR, PARTITION FILTER, FILL CHECK) and front-loaded purpose/mode guidance. Every paragraph carries non-redundant detail, though the repeated example slugs could be trimmed.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, but the description explicitly details response structure: opportunities[] with fields, partition_check object, and fill_check pricing details. It covers modes, filters, edge cases, and a pointer to a sibling tool, making it complete for a complex analysis tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% and already describes both parameters with examples. The description goes beyond by explaining what each mode does internally: event walks child markets and computes partition checks, topic flattens related events and runs the comparator on the union. This adds meaningful behavioral context beyond the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with 'Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks', a specific verb+resource+scope statement. It clearly distinguishes between event mode, topic mode, and default trending_scan, and mentions polymarket_fill_risk as a sibling alternative.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

It explicitly recommends event mode for a specific market, topic mode for cross-event scanning, and explains the no-arg default. It names polymarket_fill_risk for custom sizing, but does not contrast with all siblings like polymarket_edges. Overall, clear context and some alternative guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

The server is named 'spacex' but contains a vast number of tools unrelated to SpaceX, such as polymarket arbitrage, npm package scanning, and claim validation. Users and agents would struggle to determine whether this server is for SpaceX data or general-purpose queries.

Naming Consistency2/5

The SpaceX-specific tools follow a consistent 'get_' pattern, but the majority of tools use varied naming conventions (e.g., 'ask_pipeworx', 'bet_research', 'remember', 'subscribe'). No unifying pattern across the set.

Tool Count3/5

36 tools is a moderately large count, not extreme. However, many tools are unrelated to the server's namesake, making the set feel bloated and unfocused. The count could be trimmed to improve coherence.

Completeness2/5

For the SpaceX domain, the coverage is decent (launches, rockets, crew, Starlink). But the server's purpose is unclear—there are glaring gaps in a unified vision, as the Pipeworx tools are not integrated into a coherent SpaceX theme.

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