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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Description details behavior: walks the ladder, returns specific fields like top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage, and warns about partial fills. Annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint) are consistent and description adds context about risks and output structure.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Well-structured with clear sections for REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET. Though lengthy, it packs essential information without redundancy. Uppercase key terms aid scanning.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Despite no output schema, description lists all return fields for both modes, covers use case and risks, and explains the dominant loss mode (unhedged directional position). No gaps found.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with descriptions for all four parameters. Description adds meaningful context: explains single-market vs basket mode, default values, interpretation of size_usd for baskets (settlement notional), and auto side for baskets.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states it performs a 'realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth', with specific verb 'check' and resource 'edge'. It distinguishes two modes (single-market and basket), differentiating it from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states when to use: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500'. Provides rationale about thin books and partial basket fills converting arb into directional risk, offering clear exclusion advice.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.5/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools are near-duplicates: ask_pipeworx_beta is explicitly described as currently identical to ask_pipeworx, and multiple prediction-market tools (bet_research, polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage) overlap in purpose. The Solana-specific tools are distinct, but the large non-Solana cluster creates real ambiguity.

Naming Consistency3/5

All tools use snake_case, but naming styles vary widely: get_/list_ verbs, ask_pipeworx family, polymarket_* cluster, and descriptive noun-style names like entity_profile, validate_claim, generate_llms_txt, scan_dependency. There is no single consistent verb_noun convention across the set.

Tool Count1/5

With 36 tools, the count is high, but the critical problem is scope mismatch: a server named Solscan has only 5 Solana-related tools, while 31 are unrelated data/research/prediction-market utilities. This makes the tool count inappropriate for the apparent purpose.

Completeness2/5

As a Solana explorer, the set covers only account details, token holdings, token metadata, transactions, and transfers; major gaps include blocks, token price/history, NFTs, programs/staking, and more comprehensive transfer history. For the broader data-research theme, coverage is broad but scattered and lacks a single coherent domain.