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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate read-only behavior, and the description adds behavioral context: it walks the ladder, returns specific fields, and warns about risks like partial basket fills converting arb into directional positions. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is structured with clear sections (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, USE THIS) and every sentence adds value. It is appropriately sized for a complex tool, front-loading key information.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity and lack of output schema, the description thoroughly explains return fields for both modes, parameter behavior, and usage context. It fully compensates for missing output documentation.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, baseline 3. The description adds significant context beyond schema: clarifies mutual exclusivity of 'market' vs 'event', explains 'size_usd' in basket mode, and details default values and behavior. Enhances semantics without redundancy.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool performs an edge check against live order book depth, distinguishing between single-market and basket modes with detailed return fields. Sibling differentiation is explicit via the 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage...' directive.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states when to use the tool (before arb signals or edges trades above ~$500) and explains why (theoretical overround not capturable, partial fill risk). It gives clear context and conditions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Many tools serve overlapping purposes, such as the three ask_pipeworx variants (stable, beta, grounded) and the six Polymarket-specific tools. While detailed descriptions help distinguish them, an agent could still confuse bet_research with polymarket_edges or the ask_pipeworx versions.

Naming Consistency2/5

Naming is highly inconsistent: verb_noun (ask_pipeworx, compare_entities), noun_noun (bet_research, entity_profile), single verbs (forget, recall, search), and adjective_noun (recent_alerts, deep_research). No clear pattern emerges across the set.

Tool Count3/5

33 tools is on the high side for a server named 'Smithsonian' that actually covers a broad range of data sources (SEC, FDA, Polymarket, npm, etc.). The number feels borderline heavy but is still manageable if the server's true purpose is general research.

Completeness4/5

The tool set covers multiple domains (company financials, drugs, economics, prediction markets, npm, museum data) with reasonable depth. Minor gaps exist, such as lack of PyPI scanning or missing update/delete operations for some memory features, but core workflows are well-supported.