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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond annotations (readOnly, idempotent, openWorld), the description discloses return fields (top_of_book, vwap, slippage, verdict, etc.), mode-specific behavior (walking the ladder, capturing overround), and failure modes (thin_legs, forced_directional_risk). No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is detailed but well-structured with clear sections (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET:, BASKET:). Every sentence serves a purpose, but could be slightly more concise without losing clarity. Front-loaded with core purpose.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a tool with 4 parameters and no output schema, the description covers all necessary aspects: parameter explanations, return values, use cases, warnings. It is comprehensive and leaves no obvious gaps for an AI agent to invoke the tool correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. The description adds extra context: side options explained for both modes, size_usd interpretation (max spend vs target proceeds vs settlement notional), default values, and clamp range. This adds meaningful value beyond schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose as a realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live order-book depth, with distinct modes for single-market and basket. It explicitly differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by stating when to use this tool before acting on signals.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Detailed guidance is provided: when to use (before arb signals or trades above $500), mode selection (require market or event), side defaults, and behavior under partial fills. Risks of unhedged positions are clearly explained, enabling correct tool selection.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools have overlapping or redundant purposes, most notably ask_pipeworx and ask_pipeworx_beta (currently identical), and the cluster of Polymarket tools (polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, bet_research) which all surface trading opportunities. While the lengthy descriptions help, an agent could easily select the wrong tool.

Naming Consistency4/5

All tool names use snake_case with a readable verb/noun structure, and there are no casing inconsistencies. However, the verb-first vs noun-first pattern is not uniformly applied (e.g., ask_pipeworx vs sarb_timeseries vs polymarket_edge_tracker), so it's mostly consistent with minor deviations.

Tool Count2/5

At 36 tools, the set is large and exceeds the 25-tool threshold; the broad scope justifies some volume but the presence of duplicate/overlapping tools (ask_pipeworx_beta, multiple Polymarket scanners) makes the count feel inflated.

Completeness4/5

The set covers a wide domain — SARB data, company research, prediction markets, AI visibility, memory, and subscriptions — with a good lifecycle for most features. Minor gaps exist (no subscription update, no bulk data export), but the core workflows are well covered.