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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint=false, establishing safety. The description adds rich behavioral context: walking the ladder, returning top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, verdict categories, thin legs, forced directional risk. Warns about partial fills and unhedged positions. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Description is comprehensive yet efficiently structured with clear sections: REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, and a usage note. Every sentence adds value, no redundancy. Length is justified by the tool's dual-mode complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, so description fully covers return fields for both modes: lists all return values (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict for single; theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg detail, thin_legs, max_clean_notional_usd, forced_directional_risk for basket). Also explains verdict categories and risk of partial fills. Completeness is high given tool complexity.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but description adds meaning beyond schema: clarifies size_usd interpretation (max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells; for basket, settlement notional shares per leg). Explains side defaults per mode (single-market default buy_yes, basket default auto from partition sum). All parameters are elaborated with usage context.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool checks realizable-vs-theoretical edge using live CLOB order-book depth. It distinguishes between single-market and basket modes and specifies return fields. It also explicitly contrasts with sibling tools polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges, advising use before acting on their signals.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states when to use: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500'. It also explains consequences of not using it, e.g., 'partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L)'.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

B3.2/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Tools like ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded have overlapping purposes (all answer questions via a universal router), with only subtle distinctions (beta version, grounded mode). Additionally, many tools like entity_profile, compare_entities, recent_changes, and resolve_entity all pull SEC/company data, and polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges, polymarket_fill_risk, bet_research all relate to prediction markets, creating potential confusion. However, each tool does have a somewhat distinct purpose and detailed descriptions help differentiate them, so it's not extreme overlap.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names are mostly lowercase with underscores (e.g., 'ask_pipeworx', 'compare_entities', 'resolve_entity'), but there's a mix of verb-first (bulk_splits, list_subscriptions) and noun-first (data_types, get_quote) patterns. Also 'aggregates' and 'grouped_daily' both fetch bars but have different naming styles. The naming is inconsistent with no clear uniform pattern, and some names are vague like 'helpers' or 'utility-*'.

Tool Count2/5

43 tools is quite heavy for a single MCP server, exceeding the typical 15-25 range for 'too many'. While the server aggregates many different domains (Polygon stocks, Pipeworx data, Polymarket, npm, etc.), the sheer number makes it overwhelming for an agent to discover and select the right tool. Many tools are meta-tools (ask_pipeworx, discover_tools) that add complexity rather than mapping to a clear domain.

Completeness4/5

The server covers a huge range of operations: stock data (retrieve, search, details), prediction markets (arbitrage, edges, research, fill risk), entity resolution, subscriptions, memory, and meta-tools. There are some gaps like no obvious tool for modifying stock data (not expected) and the Polymarket side lacks a tool for placing actual trades or managing positions. But overall the surface is quite complete for a comprehensive data/research server.