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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

With readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true, etc., the description adds behavioral details: reads from snapshots (not live), decay computed from daily closes, history bounded by TTL, gaps meaning no scan. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is detailed and front-loaded with the core question. However, it is somewhat verbose with extensive explanation of response structure and limits. Could be slightly tightened.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Despite no output schema, the description fully explains the response fields (tracked, expired, snapshot_dates) and covers edge cases (gaps, TTL, decay computation). Completeness is excellent.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema has 100% coverage, but description adds value: default values, clamp range for 'days', list of options for 'window', and explains effect on history depth and snapshot availability.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description explicitly states the tool's purpose: 'Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots.' It clearly distinguishes from sibling tool 'polymarket_edges' by focusing on historical tracking and decay analysis.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies usage context (when you need edge history and decay) but does not explicitly state when not to use this tool or name alternative tools. However, it provides practical constraints like snapshot TTL and gaps.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

B3.2/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Tools like ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded have overlapping purposes (all answer questions via a universal router), with only subtle distinctions (beta version, grounded mode). Additionally, many tools like entity_profile, compare_entities, recent_changes, and resolve_entity all pull SEC/company data, and polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges, polymarket_fill_risk, bet_research all relate to prediction markets, creating potential confusion. However, each tool does have a somewhat distinct purpose and detailed descriptions help differentiate them, so it's not extreme overlap.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names are mostly lowercase with underscores (e.g., 'ask_pipeworx', 'compare_entities', 'resolve_entity'), but there's a mix of verb-first (bulk_splits, list_subscriptions) and noun-first (data_types, get_quote) patterns. Also 'aggregates' and 'grouped_daily' both fetch bars but have different naming styles. The naming is inconsistent with no clear uniform pattern, and some names are vague like 'helpers' or 'utility-*'.

Tool Count2/5

43 tools is quite heavy for a single MCP server, exceeding the typical 15-25 range for 'too many'. While the server aggregates many different domains (Polygon stocks, Pipeworx data, Polymarket, npm, etc.), the sheer number makes it overwhelming for an agent to discover and select the right tool. Many tools are meta-tools (ask_pipeworx, discover_tools) that add complexity rather than mapping to a clear domain.

Completeness4/5

The server covers a huge range of operations: stock data (retrieve, search, details), prediction markets (arbitrage, edges, research, fill risk), entity resolution, subscriptions, memory, and meta-tools. There are some gaps like no obvious tool for modifying stock data (not expected) and the Polymarket side lacks a tool for placing actual trades or managing positions. But overall the surface is quite complete for a comprehensive data/research server.