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Politics Feeds

Polymarket–Kalshi Spread

polymarket_kalshi_spread
Read-onlyIdempotent

Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. The two venues sometimes price the same outcome 2-25pp apart because their participant pools differ — when the bet shapes are equivalent that delta is a real signal, when they aren't the tool says so. TWO MODES: (1) topic — 10 pre-mapped macro shortcuts ("fed", "btc", "cpi", "gdp", "sp500", "recession", "next_pope", "next_uk_pm", "next_israel_pm", "2028_president") auto-fetch the matching event on each venue. (2) explicit kalshi_event_ticker + polymarket_event_slug for custom pairings — BOTH modes run the identical token-overlap matcher, so the same disclosures apply to both. RESPONSE: each venue's leg-by-leg prices (raw probability 0-1) plus matched spread[].top_spreads_pp (Kalshi − Polymarket) where the same outcome shows up on both sides. SAFETY FIELDS: compatibility_warning is a sentence and compatibility_codes[] the machine-readable form; BOTH can be non-empty on returned pairs, so read them even when matched_pairs>0. Codes: event_subject_mismatch (the two event titles share no subject words — probably not the same question), temporal_mismatch (they resolve in different months), temporal_alignment_unknown (the resolution month could not be parsed on one or both sides — NOT the same as confirmed-aligned; check each event's close/strike date yourself), non_equivalent_bet_shapes, no_candidate_pairs, unclassified_legs_excluded, pairing_unverified (set in EITHER mode whenever pairs are returned: the legs were matched by keyword and word overlap, not a shared resolution source). Each entry in top_spreads_pp carries its own flags[] (temporal_mismatch, temporal_alignment_unknown, event_subject_mismatch, low_token_overlap). A leg whose metric_type or match_subtype is "unknown" is NEVER paired — those comparisons land in spread.skipped_unclassified and, when the wording lined up, in spread.low_confidence_pairs[] for inspection only. temporal_alignment{polymarket_month,kalshi_month,aligned} tells you whether the two events resolve in the same calendar period, in EITHER mode; null means it could not be computed (see temporal_alignment_unknown), not that the two sides align. spread.fees_note is a standing disclosure: Kalshi charges per-contract trading fees, Polymarket does not, and this tool does not model Kalshi's fee schedule — every spread_pp is gross, not a net tradeable edge. skipped_cross_type / skipped_cross_subtype counters expose how many leg-pair comparisons were dropped (cross-type = metric_type mismatch like MoM vs YoY; cross-subtype = inequality mismatch like cum_ge vs cum_le). Real cross-venue spreads are rarer than the macro-shortcut list suggests — most pre-mapped topics return compatibility_warning today; pre-mapped ≠ tradeable.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
topicNoPre-mapped: fed | btc | cpi | gdp | sp500 | recession | next_pope | next_uk_pm | next_israel_pm | 2028_president
kalshi_event_tickerNoExplicit Kalshi event ticker, e.g. "KXFED-26OCT". Overrides the topic-mapped Kalshi side.
polymarket_event_slugNoExplicit Polymarket event slug, e.g. "fed-decision-in-june-825". Overrides the topic-mapped Polymarket side.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description goes well beyond the readOnly/openWorld/idempotent annotations by explaining what results mean, when warnings are emitted, how unmatched legs are handled, and that spreads are gross rather than net of Kalshi fees. It discloses specific compatibility codes, skipped counters, and the limitation that pairing is keyword-based, not resolution-source-confirmed.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Despite being long, the description is densely informative and well-structured: it leads with the core concept, then modes, response shape, safety fields, codes, and caveats. Every section adds necessary operational detail; there is no filler or redundant restating of the name.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description carries the full burden of explaining the response, and it does so thoroughly: top_spreads_pp, compatibility_warning, compatibility_codes, temporal_alignment, fees_note, skipped counters, and low_confidence_pairs are all covered. It also addresses real-world ambiguity such as unknown resolution dates and non-equivalent bet shapes.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The schema already documents all three parameters with 100% coverage, so the baseline is 3. The description adds value by explaining the two operational modes, how the topic values map to auto-fetched events, and how explicit tickers/slugs override the topic-mapped side, making the interaction between parameters clearer.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description states a precise function: it computes the cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. It is clearly differentiated from Polymarket-only siblings by the explicit cross-venue framing and the tool name/title reinforce this.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description clearly explains two modes: pre-mapped `topic` shortcuts and explicit `kalshi_event_ticker` + `polymarket_event_slug` pairings, with concrete examples. It also gives important usage caveats: pre-mapped topics often return compatibility warnings and pre-mapped does not imply tradeable, which helps an agent decide when to trust results.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Most tools have distinct jobs and the descriptions are unusually explicit about routing, but there are overlapping entry points: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, discover_tools, and suggest_questions all sit in the same query/research space. ask_pipeworx_beta even states it currently matches ask_pipeworx exactly, which makes some boundaries genuinely ambiguous despite strong descriptions.

Naming Consistency3/5

The set is uniformly snake_case and has useful families like polymarket_* and pipeworx_*, plus many clear verb_noun names (list_feeds, read_feed, resolve_entity, validate_claim). However, roughly a third of tools use noun-led or adjective-led names (entity_profile, deep_research, recent_alerts, polymarket_arbitrage), so the pattern is readable but mixed.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is far beyond what a 'Politics Feeds' server needs, and a large portion of the surface (npm dependency scanning, AI visibility, memory, prediction markets, LLM text generation) is unrelated to the stated purpose. This feels like a kitchen-sink monolith rather than a scoped feed server.

Completeness4/5

Within its actual implied purpose as a broad Pipeworx data-research platform, the lifecycle is well covered: discover, resolve, ask, ground, research, compare, validate, monitor, subscribe, and remember are all present. The gaps are minor—no update-subscription operation and no direct cross-feed search for the feeds named by the server—so agents can work around them.