Skip to main content
Glama

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Despite annotations declaring read-only/open-world/idempotent, the description adds substantial behavioral context: the partition filter (drops placeholder slugs, >20% placeholder fraction returns null), the fill check against live CLOB depth, and the distinction between theoretical_edge_pp_at_book and realizable_edge_pp. It even warns 'do not trade it' when realizable edge ≤ 0. This greatly exceeds annotation coverage.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness3/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is a dense, one-paragraph block with semicolons and nested clauses, making it hard to parse quickly. While every clause adds useful detail, it lacks bullet points or clear section breaks that would improve scannability for an AI agent. It is informative but not concise.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

There is no output schema, so the description must explain return values, which it does by specifying `opportunities[]` fields, `partition_check` fields, and the fill-check output. It covers edge cases like placeholder filtering and similarity thresholds. Minor gaps include exact error behavior, but for a complex tool it is largely complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds valuable semantics beyond the schema: it explains that `event` takes an event slug or full URL, `topic` is a seed question for cross-event scanning, and gives concrete examples like 'fed-decision-may-2026' and 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal.' This is a meaningful enhancement.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb+resource+method: 'Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks.' It distinguishes from siblings like polymarket_fill_risk and polymarket_edges by describing its unique approach and explicitly differentiating the event and topic modes.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly says when to use each mode: 'Call with NO args for a trending_scan,' '`event` (recommended for a specific market),' and '`topic` (for cross-event scanning).' It also names an alternative tool: 'For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.' This is clear and actionable.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

Try in Browser

Glama MCP Gateway

Add one secure layer between your agents and this server.

TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools have unclear boundaries: ask_pipeworx and ask_pipeworx_beta are explicitly identical in behavior today, while discover_tools and suggest_questions overlap as discovery/onboarding entry points. The Polymarket tools also blur together across arbitrage, edges, edge tracking, and fill risk, making tool selection prone to mistakes despite long descriptions.

Naming Consistency3/5

Names are consistently lowercase snake_case and readable, but they mix conventions: some are clear verb_noun actions like validate_claim and compare_entities, while others are noun-led like recent_alerts and entity_profile, or domain-prefixed like polymarket_edges and opensensemap_nearby. There is no single predictable naming pattern across the set.

Tool Count2/5

At 34 tools, this exceeds the 25+ threshold for a heavy tool set, and the tools span several unrelated domains: OpenSenseMap sensors, Pipeworx data access, Polymarket research, memory, subscriptions, and AI visibility. A server named Opensensemap hosting this much unrelated functionality feels poorly scoped.

Completeness3/5

The OpenSenseMap portion covers nearby discovery, box lookup, and area averages, but lacks historical/time-series access and station lifecycle operations, which are notable gaps for a sensor data server. The broader Pipeworx surface has strong lookup, research, validation, and subscription coverage, so the main incompleteness is in the named domain.