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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnly/idempotent/non-destructive. The description adds valuable behavioral context: walks the order-book ladder, returns top_of_book/vwap/slippage, detects thin legs and forced directional risk, and warns that partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged position. No contradiction; it extends the annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Long but information-dense; starts with core purpose then details. Every sentence adds necessary context for two complex modes, though the wall-of-text formatting could be improved with structure. Score 4 for slightly dense structure.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, so description must explain return values—it enumerates all key outputs (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg detail, thin_legs, max_clean_notional_usd, forced_directional_risk). It also addresses edge cases (partial fills, thin books) and directs to sibling tools. Fully complete for a complex tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema covers all 4 params with 100% coverage, but description adds meaning: clarifies size_usd as 'max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells' in single-market and 'settlement notional' in basket mode; explains side default logic per mode. This goes beyond schema descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb+resource: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It clearly distinguishes two modes (single-market and basket) and references sibling tools (polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges) as usage triggers, making its niche explicit.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states when to use: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains why (theoretical overround on thin books not capturable, partial fills cause directional risk), which serves as exclusion criteria.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Multiple tools overlap heavily: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are near-identical router variants, and entity_profile/compare_entities/recent_changes/ai_visibility_check all inspect companies from overlapping angles. The six Polymarket tools form a tightly-overlapping mini-domain that further crowds the surface.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names are snake_case, but verbs are inconsistently used: many tools are noun phrases (citation_count, entity_profile, polymarket_edges) while others start with verbs (ask_pipeworx, compare_entities, validate_claim). Some prefixes like ask_* and polymarket_* help, but the overall verb/noun pattern is not coherent.

Tool Count2/5

37 tools is well above the typical 3–15 tool scope, and several are redundant variants (three ask_pipeworx modes) or hyper-specific sub-tools (six Polymarket tools). The server name suggests a focused citation service, but only six tools actually address citations, leaving the set bloated with unrelated data query and memory utilities.

Completeness3/5

For a general data-query gateway, the surface is quite broad and covers lookup, profiling, comparisons, subscriptions, and memory. But as an OpenCitations server it lacks a way to discover papers by topic and the breadth of the other domains is unwieldy and unowned—so notable gaps exist in any plausible stated purpose.