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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate non-destructive, idempotent, safe read behavior. The description adds valuable behavioral context: it walks the order book, returns detailed fills and verdicts, and warns about risks like thin books and unhedged directional exposure. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is detailed but every sentence serves a purpose: defining modes, parameters, return values, and risks. It is front-loaded with the main purpose. While somewhat dense, it remains clear for the complexity of the tool.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no output schema, the description fully enumerates all return fields (e.g., top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, verdict) and explains basket-mode specifics (thin_legs, forced_directional_risk). It also includes risk context about partial fills. This provides sufficient information for an agent to decide when to use the tool and what to expect.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, but the description adds extra meaning: it explains side defaults (auto for basket), size_usd interpretation (max spend vs target proceeds), and clamp range (10–1,000,000) not present in schema. This adds value beyond the schema alone.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states it checks realizable-vs-theoretical edge against live CLOB order-book depth, with explicit single-market and basket modes. It distinguishes itself from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by advising use before acting on their signals, ensuring no confusion.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states when to use this tool: before any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or polymarket_edges trade above $500. It also warns against using it in cases of partial basket fills leading to unhedged positions, providing clear when-not conditions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tool clusters overlap heavily: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, discover_tools, and suggest_questions all serve query/discovery purposes; polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edge_tracker, polymarket_fill_risk, and bet_research all target prediction-market opportunity detection. ask_pipeworx_beta is explicitly identical to ask_pipeworx right now, making the distinction essentially invisible without deep description parsing.

Naming Consistency3/5

Names mix domain prefixes (oc_*, polymarket_*, pipeworx_*), action verbs (validate_claim, resolve_entity, generate_llms_txt), and plain nouns (entity_profile, recent_alerts, recent_changes). Most are readable snake_case, but there is no uniform verb_noun or domain-first convention, so the set feels stylistically fragmented rather than patterned.

Tool Count2/5

35 tools is a heavy surface for a server ostensibly named 'Open Contracting' — only 4 of the 35 tools actually relate to open contracting data. The rest sprawl across general data lookup, prediction markets, memory, subscriptions, npm scanning, and AI visibility, making the tool count feel bloated and unfocused relative to the stated purpose.

Completeness2/5

For the open-contracting domain implied by the server name, the surface is incomplete: there is coverage metadata, search, recent releases, and process history, but no direct retrieval of a single release by ID and no broader OCDS exploration tools. As a general data/Pipeworx toolkit the coverage is wide, but the severe mismatch between the server name and the actual tool set creates a significant gap between expectation and capability.