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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the readOnlyHint/openWorldHint annotations, the description details exactly how the tool behaves: it 'walks the ladder', provides a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill), identifies 'thin_legs[]' and 'forced_directional_risk', and warns about partial-fill conversions into unhedged positions. This is rich behavioral disclosure that goes far beyond annotation hints.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but densely informative. It is front-loaded with the core purpose, then structured into SINGLE-MARKET and BASKET sections with clear parameter semantics, return values, and usage guidance. Every sentence contributes value, and the structure aids scannability despite the length.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

The tool has no output schema, so the description must explain return values; it does so in detail for both modes, including theoretical vs realizable sums, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg fill details, and risk warnings. It also covers parameter defaults, modes, and explicit usage context, making the description fully adequate for the tool's complexity.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Even though the schema already describes all four parameters with 100% coverage, the description adds crucial semantics: it distinguishes single-market vs basket modes, explains side defaults and their different meanings (sell_yes = capture overround, buy_yes = capture underround), and clarifies size_usd as 'max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells' versus 'settlement notional S' in basket mode. This is substantially more than the schema provides.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool performs a 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' This specific verb–resource combination distinguishes it from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges, which focus on finding edges rather than verifying fill risk.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit usage guidance is provided: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains why, citing thin-book overround and partial-fill risk, making the when-to-use cotext clear and actionable.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have distinct purposes, but there is overlap within the ask_pipeworx family (beta, grounded) and Polymarket tools (arbitrage, edges, fill_risk), which could cause confusion. Detailed descriptions mitigate this, but the boundaries are not always clear.

Naming Consistency3/5

Tool names use snake_case but lack a consistent verb_noun pattern. Some are imperative (discover_tools), others are descriptive (ask_pipeworx, bet_research), and some are noun phrases (entity_profile, recent_alerts). This inconsistency makes it harder to predict tool names.

Tool Count3/5

33 tools is on the higher side for a single server, but the broad scope (company data, prediction markets, memory, etc.) partially justifies the count. However, many tools are variations of core functionality, suggesting possible consolidation.

Completeness4/5

The tool set covers a wide range of data sources and tasks, including company profiles, comparisons, economic data, and prediction markets. The universal ask_pipeworx router fills most gaps, though some niche data sources might not be directly accessible.