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Mlb Stats

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Bet Research

bet_research
Read-onlyIdempotent

Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call. Pass a market slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), a polymarket.com URL, or a question text. The tool resolves the market, classifies the bet, fans out to category-specific data packs in parallel, and returns an evidence packet + simple market-vs-model comparison. Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z". CLASSIFIERS: crypto_price, fed_rate, geopolitical, sports, sports_championship, drug_approval, election_candidate, tech_launch, space_launch, corporate, corporate_earnings, corporate_event, public_figure_speech, weather, other. FAN-OUT EXAMPLES: BTC bet → coingecko + fred + gdelt+gnews; Fed bet → fred (DFEDTARU + EFFR + CPIAUCSL) + kalshi_macro (KXFED implied probs) + recent_fed_actions (federal-register rules, last 365d); Hormuz bet → imf_portwatch + airspace + gdelt; Yankees WS → mlb_stats_standings + parent_event partition + news; hottest-year bet → climate_projection_nyc + gistemp_latest (NASA global anomaly, rank since 1880) + news; NVDA-vs-AAPL → finnhub get_quote + edgar shares-outstanding (derived market cap) + edgar filings + news. RESPONSE SHAPES: result.market carries best_bid/best_ask/spread_pp/liquidity/price_change_1h/1d/1w; result.analysis carries model_probability/edge_pp/kelly_fraction_half when a closed-form model fires PLUS a 24h-move warning ("Market moved X.Xpp in 24h, comparable to model edge — your edge may already be priced in") when relevant; result.evidence is keyed by source. RESOLVER CONTRACT: result.market_match_confidence ∈ {high, medium, low, none}, market_match_score (0-1 token-overlap), market_match_alternatives[] (other candidate markets the resolver considered), and suggestions[] (explicit re-query hints when the match is fuzzy) — ALWAYS inspect these before trusting the analysis block, because medium/low matches can still surface other fields. PARENT_EVENT EXTRACTOR: when the bet is one leg of a partition (Yankees WS, Romania election), result.parent_event{matched_candidate, top_legs_by_price[], partition_size, placeholders_filtered} gives you the peer prices in one place — that's the headline for elections/championships. NEWS FIELDS: news entries carry _fallback_attempted / _fallback_failed_reason / retry_after_sec when GDELT 429s and GNews backfill ran or failed. SAFETY: low-confidence resolutions short-circuit with status:"low_confidence_match" and suppress analysis fields so agents can't accidentally size on phantom matches. Closed/dead markets that ARE still indexed by Polymarket (yes_price≈0, no volume, no liquidity) return status:"market_closed_or_inactive" and skip fan-out. In practice resolved markets are usually de-indexed and instead surface via the low_confidence_match path above — both routes are BLOCKING, just different mechanisms. Wide-spread markets (>10pp) carry tradeability:"illiquid_wide_spread" + an explanatory note. RESOLUTION-RULE RISK: market.cancellation_rule parses the void/postponement settlement out of the resolution text — refund_50_50 (shares settle flat 50¢ on void; EV-material for any entry away from 50¢, with ev_impact quantified), resolves_no_on_cancel, resolves_yes_on_cancel, carries_to_reschedule, or mentioned_unclear. null means the description never mentions cancellation. Check this before sizing sports/esports/event-occurrence bets — audited arb-bot ledgers show flat-50¢ void settlements are a recurring pure-rules loss.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNoquick = 2-3 evidence sources, thorough = full fan-out. Default thorough.
marketYesPolymarket slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), full URL ("https://polymarket.com/event/..."), or question text ("Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30?")
include_rawNoDefault false. When false (recommended), FRED/FDA/GDELT/Federal-Register evidence is summarized to the few fields agents actually use — keeps responses under ~20KB. Pass true to get full upstream payloads (50KB-500KB) when you need to recompute deltas, cite specific observations, or post-process.

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, destructiveHint false) align with description. Description goes far beyond: details resolution, classification, fan-out, response shapes, safety checks, cancellation rules, parent_event extractor, news fallback fields. No contradictions; full transparency.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Description is long but well-structured with front-loaded purpose and usage, followed by organized details (classifiers, fan-out, response shapes, safety). Every sentence earns its place; no fluff. Could be slightly more concise but complexity justifies length.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema, but description thoroughly covers response structure (result.market, analysis, evidence), resolver contract (confidence, alternatives, suggestions), parent_event, news fields, and edge cases (closed markets, low confidence, wide spreads, cancellation rules). Complete enough for effective agent decision-making.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with descriptions for all 3 params. Description adds significant value: examples for market (slug, URL, question text), quick vs thorough for depth, and default false with use-case for include_raw. Slightly verbose but clearly explains each param's role beyond schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states it researches a Polymarket bet by pulling Pipeworx data in one call. It distinguishes itself from sibling tools like polymarket_edges or polymarket_arbitrage by being a comprehensive data-gathering tool. The verb 'research' and specific resource 'Polymarket bet' make the purpose unmistakable.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit usage guidance: 'Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z".' Also provides when-not-to-use via low-confidence match warning, closed market handling, and wide-spread illiquidity note. Instructions to inspect market_match_confidence before trusting analysis block further clarify safe usage.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Severe overlap between entry points: ask_pipeworx and ask_pipeworx_beta are explicitly identical right now, and the prediction-market cluster (polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edge_tracker, polymarket_fill_risk) has fuzzy boundaries that would confuse an agent picking one. Entity lookups (entity_profile, compare_entities, recent_changes, validate_claim) also overlap on company data. The stakes are raised by the server being named 'Mlb Stats' while most tools are unrelated general-data tools, compounding misselection risk.

Naming Consistency2/5

There is internal consistency within families — the 7 MLB tools share a clean get_ prefix, and the Poly tools share a polymarket_ prefix — but the overall set mixes bare verbs (remember, recall, forget), prefixed families (ask_pipeworx_*), and descriptive compounds (ai_visibility_check, generate_llms_txt) with no unifying convention. The 'Mlb Stats' server name bears no relation to the dominant ask_pipeworx/deep_research naming, which further breaks pattern expectations.

Tool Count2/5

38 tools is well past the heavy threshold, and more importantly the bulk of them (SEC filings, FRED economics, Polymarket arbitrage, npm scanning, AI visibility, subscriptions) have nothing to do with the server's stated MLB purpose. Only 7 of 38 tools are actually baseball-related, so the count is both too high for the labeled scope and misallocated.

Completeness3/5

The 7 MLB tools cover teams, rosters, schedule/scores, standings, player profiles, season stats, and batter-vs-pitcher history — a solid read-only core. However, obvious gaps remain: no per-game box scores, no league leaders, no team offensive/pitching stats, no live game detail beyond final scores. The Pipeworx catch-all router technically fills data gaps but leaves the MLB-specific surface incomplete.

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