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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true, and destructiveHint=false. The description adds substantial behavioral context: it details what happens in single-market vs basket mode, lists return fields like top_of_book and vwap_fill_price, warns that partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position, and explains the verdict categories. This far exceeds the annotation baseline, with no contradictions.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Though long, the description is highly efficient and well-structured: it opens with the core purpose, then clearly separates SINGLE-MARKET and BASKET behavior, lists return fields compactly, and ends with concrete usage guidance. Every sentence earns its place, and the density is justified given the tool's complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description compensates by enumerating many return values (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict, theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, forced_directional_risk). It covers dependencies (requires market or event), defaults, and the risk rationale, making it a complete guide for invocation.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but the description adds crucial depth: it clarifies that size_usd means 'max spend' for buys, 'target proceeds' for sells in single-market mode, and 'settlement notional' (shares per leg) in basket mode. It also explains the side parameter's valid values per mode and the auto-detection logic for basket mode. This is a strong enrichment beyond the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose as a 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It explicitly distinguishes between single-market and basket modes, and names the sibling tools it complements (polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges), making its unique role obvious.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit usage context: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It mentions the alternatives (arbitrage and edges tools) and implies when not to use (below the threshold), giving clear guidance for selection.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.5/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have distinct purposes, but there is some overlap among ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_grounded, and deep_research, all of which query the Pipeworx database with different levels of structure. The detailed descriptions help differentiate them, but the overlap is notable.

Naming Consistency4/5

All tool names use snake_case consistently, which is good. However, the naming conventions vary: some are descriptive phrases (e.g., ai_visibility_check), others are verb_noun (e.g., list_subscriptions), and some are compound nouns (e.g., entity_profile). Lack of a single pattern reduces consistency slightly.

Tool Count3/5

34 tools is on the higher side for a single server, but it may be justified given the broad scope of Pipeworx data sources. However, the server name 'Mast Nasa' implies a focus on astronomy, yet only a few tools relate to that domain, making the count feel inflated and unfocused.

Completeness3/5

The tool set is comprehensive for the Pipeworx data platform, covering querying, grounding, entity resolution, comparison, subscriptions, and more. However, for the implied NASA/Mast domain, the surface is severely incomplete with only four astronomy-specific tools, leaving obvious gaps.