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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and openWorldHint. The description adds substantial behavioral context: it walks the order-book ladder, returns fill details like slippage and shares_filled, and for basket mode highlights forced directional risk. It warns about partial fills causing unhedged directional positions, which is critical for safe usage.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is relatively long but well-structured with clear separation between single-market and basket modes, using all-caps for emphasis. Every sentence adds value, though slightly verbose; it could be trimmed without losing meaning.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description comprehensively lists all return fields for both modes (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, etc.) and explains edge cases like thin_legs and forced_directional_risk. It is complete for an agent to understand what information the tool provides and how to interpret results.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, providing basic descriptions for all 4 parameters. The description adds mode-specific interpretation (e.g., side defaults for basket auto, size_usd interpreted as spend vs target proceeds vs settlement notional) and clamps, which goes beyond schema but is not exhaustive.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool performs a 'realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth' with specific modes (single-market vs basket). It explicitly differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by stating when to use this tool before acting on their signals.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit guidance: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500'. It explains the required parameters (market or event) and warns against partial basket fills converting arbs into unhedged positions, covering both when and when not to use.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Multiple tool clusters have unclear boundaries: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are three variants of the same router (beta is currently identical), while bet_research, polymarket_edges, and polymarket_arbitrage all target prediction-market opportunities. ai_visibility_check is effectively a single-entity version of scan_competitor_ai_presence, and discover_tools overlaps heavily with suggest_questions.

Naming Consistency3/5

Tool names are uniformly snake_case and descriptive, but the pattern is mixed: verb-first names (ask_pipeworx, compare_entities, search_within) coexist with noun-first names (patent, scholarly, entity_profile), and the Lens.org pairing of patent/patents_search vs scholarly/scholarly_search is structurally inconsistent. Subgroups like pipeworx_* and polymarket_* are internally consistent, keeping the overall set readable.

Tool Count2/5

At 35 tools, this exceeds the 16-25 'heavy' band and bundles at least four distinct domains: Lens.org bibliometrics, Pipeworx data routing, Polymarket trading analysis, and memory/subscription utilities. While many tools serve legitimate purposes, the set feels sprawling and several variants (e.g., the three ask_pipeworx flavors) inflate the count without adding equivalent value.

Completeness4/5

The Pipeworx/Polymarket ecosystem is thoroughly covered with routing, grounded answers, deep research, entity resolution, validation, comparison, monitoring, and memory all present. The Lens.org portion is thin (search + fetch for patents and scholarly works) but covers the core read path; minor gaps exist such as no batch/export operations and no patent-number lookup.