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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Description adds significant behavioral context beyond annotations: walks the ladder, returns specific fields (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage, etc.), warns about forced directional risk and thin legs. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-organized with headings for modes and returns all necessary information. While lengthy, every sentence adds value and it is front-loaded with core purpose. Slightly verbose but efficient overall.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the complexity (two modes, four parameters, no output schema), the description is complete: it explains inputs, outputs (lists all return fields), and caveats, fully compensating for the lack of an output schema.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but the description adds extra semantics: explains default logic for basket side, different interpretation of size_usd modes, and clarifies required usage for market vs event parameters.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose as a realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live order-book depth. It distinguishes itself from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by specifying when to use it (before acting on arb signals or edges above ~$500).

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit guidance: use before arb signals or trades above $500, explains two modes (single-market and basket), gives prerequisites (requires market or event), and highlights risks of partial fills and thin books.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

C2.9/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Many tools serve overlapping purposes: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, validate_claim, entity_profile, compare_entities, and resolve_entity all perform data lookups with subtle differences. The prediction-market tools (bet_research, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges, etc.) heavily overlap, and even the HTTP utilities (headers, ip, user_agent, cookies) echo similar request information. Agents will struggle to pick the right tool.

Naming Consistency2/5

Naming is internally inconsistent: some tools use short imperative verbs (get, post, status, delay), others use long descriptive phrases (ask_pipeworx, entity_profile, scan_competitor_ai_presence). There is no common pattern—some are verb+noun, some noun+noun, some proper nouns. The mix of styles makes it hard to predict tool names.

Tool Count2/5

47 tools is excessive for a server named Httpbin, which conventionally should have a handful of HTTP debugging utilities. Most tools are unrelated to HTTP (data lookups, prediction markets, memory, subscriptions), indicating severe scope creep. The count feels bloated and unwieldy.

Completeness2/5

For HTTP debugging, the set is incomplete—missing common methods (PUT, DELETE, PATCH) and error-handling features. For the broader data/proposition-market domain, coverage is fragmented and unclear. The server appears to be a jumble of partially complete feature sets with no coherent domain, leaving obvious gaps in each.