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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, destructiveHint) already indicate safe read-only behavior. The description adds significant context: walks the ladder, returns verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill), explains forced directional risk for baskets, and mentions the dominant loss mode (partial fills converting arb into directional position).

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is somewhat long but each sentence earns its place, front-loading purpose and key requirement. It could be slightly better structured (e.g., bullet points for modes) but remains dense and informative without waste.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Despite having no output schema, the description exhaustively documents all return fields for both modes, explains edge cases (partial fills, forced directional risk), and provides sufficient context for correct tool invocation and result interpretation.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, baseline 3. Description adds nuance: size_usd interpreted differently for single-market (spend/target) vs basket (settlement notional), side defaults explained for both modes, and return fields listed that are not in schema (e.g., top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, capture_ratio, etc.).

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool does a 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth' with two explicit modes (single-market and basket). It distinguishes from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by specifying usage before acting on those signals.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly says 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500', explains why (theoretical overround not capturable, partial fills cause directional risk), and clarifies requirement of one of `market` or `event`.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

B3.1/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tool families overlap heavily: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are near-identical entry points, while discover_tools/suggest_questions and entity_profile/compare_entities/recent_changes serve similar discovery/comparison roles. The polymarket_* cluster also has tightly related boundaries that require reading long descriptions to disambiguate, and version-related helper tools (go_mod, module, versions, version_info) add further confusion.

Naming Consistency3/5

Most tools follow a lowercase snake_case verb_noun pattern (list_subscriptions, resolve_entity, validate_claim), but there are notable deviations: bare verbs like remember/recall/forget, noun-only names like go_mod, module, versions, and version_info, and brand-prefixed names like ask_pipeworx and pipeworx_feedback. The naming is readable and generally predictable, yet the mix of conventions keeps it from being highly consistent.

Tool Count2/5

With 35 tools, the surface is heavy for what is ultimately a data-access and research server. Many tools are conveniences or meta-wrappers that could be consolidated (e.g., three ask_pipeworx variants, multiple polymarket scanners, several onboarding/discovery tools). While the breadth is intentional, 35 feels bloated rather than well-scoped.

Completeness4/5

The toolset covers a remarkably broad domain: universal data lookup, grounded fact-checking, entity resolution, company profiles, comparisons, prediction-market analysis, memory, subscriptions, and feedback. Minor gaps exist—subscriptions can be created/cancelled but not updated/paused, and there is no direct resolver for pipeworx:// citation URIs—but these are workable and core workflows have no dead ends.