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Funcheap

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Bet Research

bet_research
Read-onlyIdempotent

Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call. Pass a market slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), a polymarket.com URL, or a question text. The tool resolves the market, classifies the bet, fans out to category-specific data packs in parallel, and returns an evidence packet + simple market-vs-model comparison. Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z". CLASSIFIERS: crypto_price, fed_rate, geopolitical, sports, sports_championship, drug_approval, election_candidate, tech_launch, space_launch, corporate, corporate_earnings, corporate_event, public_figure_speech, weather, other. FAN-OUT EXAMPLES: BTC bet → coingecko + fred + gdelt+gnews; Fed bet → fred (DFEDTARU + EFFR + CPIAUCSL) + kalshi_macro (KXFED implied probs) + recent_fed_actions (federal-register rules, last 365d); Hormuz bet → imf_portwatch + airspace + gdelt; Yankees WS → mlb_stats_standings + parent_event partition + news; hottest-year bet → climate_projection_nyc + gistemp_latest (NASA global anomaly, rank since 1880) + news; NVDA-vs-AAPL → finnhub get_quote + edgar shares-outstanding (derived market cap) + edgar filings + news. RESPONSE SHAPES: result.market carries best_bid/best_ask/spread_pp/liquidity/price_change_1h/1d/1w; result.analysis carries model_probability/edge_pp/kelly_fraction_half when a closed-form model fires PLUS a 24h-move warning ("Market moved X.Xpp in 24h, comparable to model edge — your edge may already be priced in") when relevant; result.evidence is keyed by source. RESOLVER CONTRACT: result.market_match_confidence ∈ {high, medium, low, none}, market_match_score (0-1 token-overlap), market_match_alternatives[] (other candidate markets the resolver considered), and suggestions[] (explicit re-query hints when the match is fuzzy) — ALWAYS inspect these before trusting the analysis block, because medium/low matches can still surface other fields. PARENT_EVENT EXTRACTOR: when the bet is one leg of a partition (Yankees WS, Romania election), result.parent_event{matched_candidate, top_legs_by_price[], partition_size, placeholders_filtered} gives you the peer prices in one place — that's the headline for elections/championships. NEWS FIELDS: news entries carry _fallback_attempted / _fallback_failed_reason / retry_after_sec when GDELT 429s and GNews backfill ran or failed. SAFETY: low-confidence resolutions short-circuit with status:"low_confidence_match" and suppress analysis fields so agents can't accidentally size on phantom matches. Closed/dead markets that ARE still indexed by Polymarket (yes_price≈0, no volume, no liquidity) return status:"market_closed_or_inactive" and skip fan-out. In practice resolved markets are usually de-indexed and instead surface via the low_confidence_match path above — both routes are BLOCKING, just different mechanisms. Wide-spread markets (>10pp) carry tradeability:"illiquid_wide_spread" + an explanatory note. RESOLUTION-RULE RISK: market.cancellation_rule parses the void/postponement settlement out of the resolution text — refund_50_50 (shares settle flat 50¢ on void; EV-material for any entry away from 50¢, with ev_impact quantified), resolves_no_on_cancel, resolves_yes_on_cancel, carries_to_reschedule, or mentioned_unclear. null means the description never mentions cancellation. Check this before sizing sports/esports/event-occurrence bets — audited arb-bot ledgers show flat-50¢ void settlements are a recurring pure-rules loss.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNoquick = 2-3 evidence sources, thorough = full fan-out. Default thorough.
marketYesPolymarket slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), full URL ("https://polymarket.com/event/..."), or question text ("Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30?")
include_rawNoDefault false. When false (recommended), FRED/FDA/GDELT/Federal-Register evidence is summarized to the few fields agents actually use — keeps responses under ~20KB. Pass true to get full upstream payloads (50KB-500KB) when you need to recompute deltas, cite specific observations, or post-process.

TDQS

A4.5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Despite comprehensive annotations (readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true), the description adds extensive behavioral details far beyond: market resolution, classification, parallel fan-out, response shapes, resolver contract with match confidence and alternatives, parent event extraction, news fallback mechanisms, safety short-circuits for low-confidence and closed markets, spread warnings, and resolution-rule risk. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Long but well-structured: starts with core purpose, then iterates details (classification, fan-out, response, resolver, etc.). Could trim the classifier list and fan-out examples slightly, but every section adds unique, actionable information. Front-loaded with purpose.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a complex tool with no output schema, the description covers all return fields (result.market, result.analysis, result.evidence, resolver contract, parent event, news fields) and edge cases (low confidence, closed markets, wide spreads, resolution-rule risk). Leaves no significant gap for an AI agent to guess.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% (3 params fully described). Description adds rich meaning: explains the 'market' parameter accepts slug, URL, or question text; 'depth' is tied to fan-out examples; 'include_raw' explicitly describes when to use true vs false. Goes well beyond schema descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description states 'Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call' with clear verb ('research', 'pull'), resource ('Pipeworx data'), and inputs (slug, URL, question text). It distinguishes its function from siblings like 'polymarket_arbitrage' and 'polymarket_edges' by focusing on research and evidence gathering, but does not explicitly contrast with them.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit usage examples: 'Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z"'. Also includes behavioral guidance on safety (low-confidence matches, closed markets, wide spreads) and resolution-rule risk. Does not explicitly state when not to use it, but context is clear enough.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4.1/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools are distinct (event search, subscriptions, memory, Polymarket arbitrage, data lookups), but ai_visibility_check, scan_competitor_ai_presence, bet_research, polymarket_edges, and polymarket_arbitrage have overlapping purposes around competitive research and prediction-market edge-finding. The detailed descriptions disambiguate them, though an agent could confuse polymarket_edges with polymarket_arbitrage.

Naming Consistency4/5

Tool names are mostly descriptive and consistent: search_events, event, categories, tags are aligned; ask_pipeworx, compare_entities, entity_profile follow a similar pattern. However, polymarket_* tools have an odd mix of `polymarket_arbitrage`, `polymarket_fill_risk`, and `polymarket_edge_tracker`, and discover_tools/recent_alerts/recent_changes are consistent, mostly. Naming is quite consistent overall with minor deviations.

Tool Count3/5

At 35 tools, the count is heavier than typical MCP servers, but it reflects a broad service (Funcheap data + Pipeworx data platform + pred markets). Still, plenty of tools serve the same primary purpose (polymarket_, ask_pipeworx variants) so some pruning would improve the surface.

Completeness4/5

The surface appears complete for its domain: search/retrieve events, category/tag navigation, memory, subscriptions (create/list/cancel/pull), data lookups, entity resolution, comparisons, profiles, edge scanning, and feedback. Minor gaps include no direct 'update' on events (but events are static), and no pricing fetch tool separate from event text, though body text covers it.

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