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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

TDQS

A4.5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description adds substantial behavioral context beyond the annotations: it explains the 60-day snapshot TTL, that decay numbers are from daily closes not intraday, that snapshot gaps mean no scan occurred, and details how 'expired' opportunities are defined. This goes far beyond the readOnlyHint and other annotations, which only say it is safe and idempotent.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is front-loaded with the purpose and uses structured labels (Args, RESPONSE, LIMITS) to organize dense information. Every sentence contributes necessary detail for a tool with no output schema. Despite length, there is no fluff or repetition.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description fully explains the return structure: tracked[], expired[], snapshot_dates[], and their semantics. It also covers edge cases like TTL limits, cache-miss gaps, and signed edge values. For a tool of this complexity, this is complete and self-sufficient.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds the concept of 'snapshot family' and restates defaults, but does not meaningfully enrich the parameter semantics beyond what the schema already provides. It mentions 'max 30' while schema says 'clamp 2-30', which is equivalent.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states this tool provides 'edge persistence and decay telemetry' and answers whether an edge is 'shrinking'. This distinguishes it from the sibling polymarket_edges, which likely provides current edge data. The verb 'tracker' and resource 'polymarket_edges snapshots' are explicit and specific.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides clear context for when to use this tool by contrasting a 'fresh wide edge' vs a '3-week-old wide edge', implying it is for historical persistence analysis. It references polymarket_edges snapshots, indicating that tool is the source for current edges. However, it does not explicitly name alternatives or state 'when not to use', so a 4 rather than 5.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools are well-differentiated, with detailed descriptions clarifying their distinct purposes. However, there is some overlap between the multiple 'ask' tools (ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, suggest_questions) and between weather tools (forecast, latest_observations, recent_observations, warnings), which could cause confusion. Overall, ambiguity is low.

Naming Consistency5/5

All 34 tool names follow a consistent lowercase_with_underscores (snake_case) pattern. Names are descriptive and predictable, such as 'ask_pipeworx', 'entity_profile', 'polymarket_arbitrage', etc. No mixing of conventions like camelCase or inconsistent verb styles.

Tool Count3/5

The server has 34 tools, which is on the higher side given its broad scope covering weather, company research, prediction markets, and general data queries. While not excessive, it could be split into more focused servers for clarity. The count feels a bit heavy but still manageable.

Completeness4/5

The tool set covers a wide range of data domains (weather, company financials, prediction markets, news, memory, subscriptions) with reasonable completeness. Minor gaps exist, such as limited weather coverage (Finland only) and no direct support for non-company entities or unofficial data sources, but core workflows are well-supported.