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Findymail

Polymarket–Kalshi Spread

polymarket_kalshi_spread
Read-onlyIdempotent

Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. The two venues sometimes price the same outcome 2-25pp apart because their participant pools differ — when the bet shapes are equivalent that delta is a real signal, when they aren't the tool says so. TWO MODES: (1) topic — 10 pre-mapped macro shortcuts ("fed", "btc", "cpi", "gdp", "sp500", "recession", "next_pope", "next_uk_pm", "next_israel_pm", "2028_president") auto-fetch the matching event on each venue. (2) explicit kalshi_event_ticker + polymarket_event_slug for custom pairings — BOTH modes run the identical token-overlap matcher, so the same disclosures apply to both. RESPONSE: each venue's leg-by-leg prices (raw probability 0-1) plus matched spread[].top_spreads_pp (Kalshi − Polymarket) where the same outcome shows up on both sides. SAFETY FIELDS: compatibility_warning is a sentence and compatibility_codes[] the machine-readable form; BOTH can be non-empty on returned pairs, so read them even when matched_pairs>0. Codes: event_subject_mismatch (the two event titles share no subject words — probably not the same question), temporal_mismatch (they resolve in different months), temporal_alignment_unknown (the resolution month could not be parsed on one or both sides — NOT the same as confirmed-aligned; check each event's close/strike date yourself), non_equivalent_bet_shapes, no_candidate_pairs, unclassified_legs_excluded, pairing_unverified (set in EITHER mode whenever pairs are returned: the legs were matched by keyword and word overlap, not a shared resolution source). Each entry in top_spreads_pp carries its own flags[] (temporal_mismatch, temporal_alignment_unknown, event_subject_mismatch, low_token_overlap). A leg whose metric_type or match_subtype is "unknown" is NEVER paired — those comparisons land in spread.skipped_unclassified and, when the wording lined up, in spread.low_confidence_pairs[] for inspection only. temporal_alignment{polymarket_month,kalshi_month,aligned} tells you whether the two events resolve in the same calendar period, in EITHER mode; null means it could not be computed (see temporal_alignment_unknown), not that the two sides align. spread.fees_note is a standing disclosure: Kalshi charges per-contract trading fees, Polymarket does not, and this tool does not model Kalshi's fee schedule — every spread_pp is gross, not a net tradeable edge. skipped_cross_type / skipped_cross_subtype counters expose how many leg-pair comparisons were dropped (cross-type = metric_type mismatch like MoM vs YoY; cross-subtype = inequality mismatch like cum_ge vs cum_le). Real cross-venue spreads are rarer than the macro-shortcut list suggests — most pre-mapped topics return compatibility_warning today; pre-mapped ≠ tradeable.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
topicNoPre-mapped: fed | btc | cpi | gdp | sp500 | recession | next_pope | next_uk_pm | next_israel_pm | 2028_president
kalshi_event_tickerNoExplicit Kalshi event ticker, e.g. "KXFED-26OCT". Overrides the topic-mapped Kalshi side.
polymarket_event_slugNoExplicit Polymarket event slug, e.g. "fed-decision-in-june-825". Overrides the topic-mapped Polymarket side.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description richly discloses behavior beyond the annotations: it explains that matching is by keyword overlap, that pairing remains unverified, that compatibility warnings can coexist with matched pairs, that Kalshi fees are not modeled, and that spreads are gross not net. It also explains skipped/unclassified legs and the meaning of null temporal alignment. This is exemplary transparency.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long, but it is densely informative and organized into labeled sections covering modes, response fields, safety codes, fees, and skipped comparisons. Every section earns its place given the tool's complexity and the absence of an output schema, though some sentences could be tightened without loss of meaning.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a tool with three optional parameters, no output schema, and complex cross-venue semantics, the description is remarkably complete. It covers return-value structure, warning codes, edge cases, fee treatment, matching limitations, and the meaning of null/unknown values. An agent has nearly everything needed to invoke the tool and interpret its output safely.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Although the schema already documents all parameters at 100% coverage, the description adds substantial meaning: it enumerates the topic shortcuts, clarifies that explicit params override the mapped side, explains that both modes use the same matching logic, and warns about the tradeability implications. This goes well beyond the schema's basic descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly identifies a specific function: computing the cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. It describes the resource, the comparison, and the two modes of operation. However, it does not explicitly differentiate itself from related siblings like polymarket_arbitrage or polymarket_edges, stopping short of a full 5.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description gives clear usage context: it explains when to use the topic shortcuts versus explicit event pairings, and warns that pre-mapped topics often return compatibility warnings and are not necessarily tradeable. It does not explicitly name alternative sibling tools or state when this tool should be preferred over them, so it lacks exclusion guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools have heavily overlapping purposes: ask_pipeworx and ask_pipeworx_beta are currently identical, deep_research/validate_claim/ask_pipeworx all route factual questions to the same underlying catalog, and ai_visibility_check is essentially wrapped by scan_competitor_ai_presence. The long descriptions help, but the boundaries between query, research, and verification tools are genuinely ambiguous.

Naming Consistency2/5

Names are all lowercase snake_case, but there is no consistent verb_noun or domain pattern: ask_pipeworx, findymail_find_email, scan_competitor_ai_presence, polymarket_kalshi_spread, and generate_llms_txt each use a different structural convention. The mix of brand prefixes, domain prefixes, and bare commands makes the naming feel ad hoc rather than systematic.

Tool Count2/5

33 tools is well over the 25+ threshold and reflects a server that bundles at least five distinct concerns: email lookup, structured data research, prediction-market analysis, subscriptions, and memory. Most individual tools earn their place, but the count is too high for coherent tool selection in a single MCP server.

Completeness3/5

Coverage is broad and mostly self-sufficient for the Pipeworx data ecosystem: querying, deep research, entity resolution, comparisons, verification, subscriptions, memory, and one-off utilities are all present. There are notable gaps though—there is no tool to fetch a full record from a returned pipeworx:// citation URI, and the Findymail side is limited to find/reverse with no verification or bulk capability.