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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark the tool as read-only, idempotent, and not destructive. The description adds significant behavioral context: it walks the order ladder, returns verdicts (clean/degraded/cannot_fill), identifies thin legs, and warns about forced directional risk. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with clear sections (mode selection, parameter defaults, return values) and uses capitalization for emphasis. It is somewhat lengthy but every sentence serves a purpose. A minor reduction in verbosity could improve conciseness, but it remains effective.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no output schema, the description thoroughly explains both single-market and basket return fields: top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict, theoretical_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg detail, thin_legs, max_clean_notional_usd, forced_directional_risk. It also covers edge cases and rationale.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. However, the description adds substantial meaning: it explains the dual-mode semantics (market for single, event for basket), auto-detection of side in basket mode based on partition sum, and different interpretations of size_usd (spend vs proceeds vs settlement notional). This goes far beyond the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly defines the tool as a 'realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth', with specific verb ('check') and resource ('edge'). It distinguishes from siblings by stating it should be used before acting on polymarket_arbitrage or polymarket_edges signals, and explains two modes (single-market and basket) with detailed outcomes.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states when to use the tool: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500'. It explains why with real-world consequences: theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Many tools have overlapping purposes, especially the ask_pipeworx variants and Polymarket tools, but detailed descriptions help differentiate. Some tools like 'discover_tools' and 'suggest_questions' also have similar discovery roles, causing potential confusion.

Naming Consistency3/5

Names follow snake_case but lack a consistent pattern: some start with verbs (e.g., 'ask_pipeworx', 'compare_entities'), others with nouns (e.g., 'entity_profile', 'recent_changes'), and prefixes like 'pipeworx_' and 'polymarket_' are used sporadically, making the naming scheme mixed but still readable.

Tool Count2/5

35 tools is excessive for a server named 'Estat Japan', which should focus on Japanese statistics. The majority of tools are general-purpose Pipeworx tools, diluting the scope and making the count feel bloated for the stated purpose.

Completeness2/5

The e-Stat tools (list_data_catalog, search_stats, get_metadata, get_data) provide basic read-only access but lack update or delete operations. The inclusion of many unrelated tools leaves significant gaps for Japanese statistics, and the overall surface is incomplete for the server's implied domain.