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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint=false, so the description adds value by explaining the live CLOB check, ladder walking, and warning about partial fills converting arb to unhedged positions. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is longer but well-structured with clear sections (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, USE THIS). Every sentence adds value. Slightly verbose but justified by the tool's complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, but the description comprehensively covers return fields for both modes (e.g., top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, capture_ratio, thin_legs). It also includes warnings about directional risk and max fillable amounts. Complete for the tool's complexity.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, baseline 3. The description adds significant meaning: explains two modes (single-market vs basket), defaults for `side`, interpretation of `size_usd` in each mode, and details on return values. This goes well beyond the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool performs a 'realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth', distinguishes between single-market and basket modes, and lists specific return fields. It is specific and differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500' and explains why (theoretical overround not capturable, partial fills cause directional risk). Also clarifies that one of `market` or `event` is required.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation5/5

Each tool has a clearly distinct purpose. Tools like ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded are differentiated by reliability mode; entity_profile vs compare_entities serve single vs multi-entity; and memorization, subscription, and search tools occupy separate operational niches. No two tools could be easily confused.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names follow no consistent pattern. Some use verb_noun (ask_pipeworx, resolve_entity, validate_claim), others are noun phrases (polymarket_arbitrage, ai_visibility_check), and some mix verb+noun with underscores inconsistently (generate_llms_txt, scan_competitor_ai_presence). This lack of uniformity makes the surface harder to navigate.

Tool Count3/5

34 tools is borderline high. The server spans multiple domains (data query, prediction markets, eLife, memory, subscriptions), and each domain gets several tools, making the overall surface feel bloated. While individual tools are justified, the total count strains discoverability and hints at scope creep.

Completeness2/5

The tool set is incomplete relative to its stated breadth. For a server named 'Elife', only 3 tools actually serve eLife; the rest are dominated by Pipeworx and Polymarket. Within the query/data domain, coverage is deep but lacks write/modify tools. Prediction market analysis lacks execution tools (no order placement). This leaves clear gaps for agents that need to act on the data.