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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the annotations (readOnly, openWorld, idempotent), the description adds significant behavioral context: response structure (tracked, expired, snapshot_dates), meaning of negative edge_pp_net, limitations (60-day TTL, snapshot gaps, decay computed from daily closes not intraday). This fully informs the agent of behavior.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is information-dense but well-structured: starts with purpose, then details response fields, then limitations. Every sentence adds value. Slightly verbose but acceptable given the complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no output schema and only two primitive parameters, the description provides complete context including return structure, field meanings, trade interpretation ('a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades'), and data limitations. No gaps remain.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. The description adds extra value beyond schema: default values (days=14, window='1wk'), maximum days (30), and acceptable window values ('24hr | 1wk | 1mo'). This enhances understanding.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool tracks edge persistence and decay telemetry. It uses a specific verb ('answers') and resource ('edge persistence and decay telemetry') and distinguishes itself from the sibling 'polymarket_edges' by focusing on history and decay. The concept of a fresh wide edge vs an old wide edge is explained, making the purpose very clear.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies usage context: when you need edge history and decay, instead of raw snapshots (polymarket_edges). It does not explicitly state when not to use it, but provides enough context for an agent to infer appropriate use.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4.1/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

There is notable overlap between tools like ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded, as well as between polymarket_edges and bet_research. While descriptions differentiate them, an agent may struggle to pick the right one without deep understanding of nuances.

Naming Consistency3/5

Tool names use mixed conventions: snake_case (ai_visibility_check), verb_noun (ask_pipeworx, bet_research), and single-word verbs (forget, recall). Some names are very long (polymarket_fill_risk) while others are terse, reducing predictability.

Tool Count3/5

33 tools is high but can be justified by the broad domain coverage (data retrieval, entity resolution, comparisons, memory, subscriptions). However, several tools serve similar purposes, suggesting potential consolidation.

Completeness4/5

The tool set covers a wide range of data sources and tasks (SEC, FDA, real estate, prediction markets, etc.) with CRUD-like operations on memory and subscriptions. Minor gaps exist, such as no direct stock trading or social media monitoring, but overall coverage is strong.