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diceuear

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Changed1 schema field changed
    • removedInput schema / anyOf
      Removed value: -[
-  {
-    "required": [
-      "event"
-    ]
-  },
-  {
-    "required": [
-      "topic"
-    ]
-  }
-]
  2. Changed3 schema fields changed
    • addedInput schema / anyOf
      Added value: +[
+  {
+    "required": [
+      "event"
+    ]
+  },
+  {
+    "required": [
+      "topic"
+    ]
+  }
+]
    • changedInput schema / properties / event / description
      Previous value: -"Single-event mode: Polymarket event slug (e.g. \"when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k\") or full URL."New value: +"Single-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like \"fed-decision-may-2026\" or \"when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k\". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted."
    • changedInput schema / properties / topic / description
      Previous value: -"Cross-event mode: a topic or seed question. Tool searches Polymarket for related markets across separate events and checks monotonicity across them. E.g. \"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\"."New value: +"Cross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like \"Fed rate decision\" or \"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them."
  3. Added

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description goes far beyond the readOnly/idempotent annotations by disclosing internal mechanics: Jaccard similarity threshold (≥0.30), the >3pp deviation trigger, placeholder-slug filtering (20% threshold), null arb signal behavior, and the fill-check logic that prices against live CLOB depth. This level of detail gives the agent concrete expectations beyond what annotations provide.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but densely packed with high-value information, structured with clear labels (SEMANTIC ANCHOR, PARTITION FILTER, FILL CHECK). Every sentence serves a purpose: mode selection, parameter behavior, edge cases, response structure, and trading caveats. Given the three modes and complex logic, this is appropriately sized and front-loaded with the core purpose.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description takes on the responsibility of explaining return values, and it does so thoroughly: opportunities[] with specific fields, partition_check object fields, and the fill-check output. It also covers edge cases like skipped_low_similarity and placeholder filtering, making the tool's behavior predictable in corner scenarios.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Although the schema already provides 100% coverage and descriptions for both parameters, the tool description enriches semantics by giving concrete examples (e.g., 'fed-decision-may-2026', 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal'), explaining what each parameter triggers internally (walks child markets, flattens unions), and noting that full URLs are also accepted. This adds meaning that cannot be inferred from the schema alone.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb+resource+method: 'Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks.' It distinguishes three modes (trending, event, topic) and clearly separates this from sibling tools by delegating custom sizing to polymarket_fill_risk.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly tells when to use no args for trending_scan, `event` for a specific market, and `topic` for cross-event scanning. It also provides decision guidance by explaining when NOT to trade (realizable_edge_pp <= 0) and points to an alternative tool for custom sizing, fulfilling both when-to-use and when-not-to-use criteria.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4.1/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Tools have mostly clear distinctions: ask_pipeworx variants differ by grounding/evidence guarantees, and meta-tools (discover_tools, suggest_questions) serve onboarding. However, ask_pipeworx_beta currently matches ask_pipeworx exactly, creating transient ambiguity, and deep_research vs ask_pipeworx overlap in routing capability though with different scopes.

Naming Consistency4/5

All tools use snake_case and most follow verb-first naming (ask_pipeworx, compare_entities, generate_avatar, subscribe). A few are descriptive nouns (recent_alerts, recent_changes, pipeworx_trending) but still readable and predictable. No mixed conventions; overall consistent style.

Tool Count2/5

33 tools is excessive for a single server, and many are auxiliary (avatar generation, memory, feedback) that do not serve the core data-access purpose. The primary question-answering capability is centralized in a few routers, making many separate tools feel redundant or unrelated, which dilutes navigability.

Completeness4/5

The core domain of structured data access is well covered with routing, grounded answering, deep research, entity profiles, comparisons, and claim validation. Subscription lifecycle (subscribe/unsubscribe/alerts) and memory (remember/recall/forget) round out the surface. Minor gaps like lack of direct tool invocation outside the router are covered by discover_tools, and no critical dead ends exist for typical queries.

Resources