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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Despite annotations indicating readOnly and idempotent behavior, the description adds crucial operational details: it walks the order-book ladder, returns specific metrics (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, etc.), and discloses the risk that partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but every sentence earns its place. It is well-structured with clear mode breakdowns (SINGLE-MARKET vs BASKET), explicit return-value lists, and a final usage directive. The format is dense yet scannable, with important warnings prominently stated.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (two modes, no output schema), the description is remarkably complete. It lists all return fields for both modes, explains the real-world trading context (overround, underround, thin legs, forced directional risk), and provides actionable thresholds. There is no output schema, so this detailed narrative is essential and well-supplied.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with all 4 parameters described, but the description adds significant nuance beyond the schema: explains how size_usd is interpreted differently in single-market vs basket mode (max spend vs target proceeds vs settlement notional), details the default side behavior (auto from partition sum), and clarifies the range clamps. This is valuable semantic enrichment.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's function: a 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It distinguishes between single-market and basket modes, and explicitly contrasts with sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges, making its unique purpose unambiguous.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit when-to-use guidance: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains the difference between market and event modes, including default behaviors and when each is appropriate, and warns against theoretical overround on thin books.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

B3.3/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Many tools have overlapping functionality, such as ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, and ask_pipeworx_grounded, which are essentially the same with minor differences. The polymarket_* family also has five tools with similar names and purposes, making it easy to select the wrong one despite detailed descriptions.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names mix verb-first patterns (ask, generate, list, remember) with noun-first patterns (entity_profile, polymarket_arbitrage), and include camelCase like ai_visibility_check. This inconsistent naming style makes the set feel arbitrary and harder to navigate.

Tool Count3/5

With 36 tools, the server exceeds the typical well-scoped range of 3-15. While the multi-purpose nature justifies a larger set, the presence of many near-duplicates (beta/grounded variants, multiple polymarket tools) inflates the count without proportional functional gain.

Completeness4/5

The toolset covers a wide array of domains including translation, entity resolution, financial data, prediction markets, memory, subscriptions, and AI visibility. It appears very comprehensive for its intended multi-purpose server, with no obvious major gaps in core capabilities.