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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
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TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true, and destructiveHint=false, and the description does not contradict these. It adds rich behavioral context: it walks the order book ladder, returns specific metrics (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, etc.), and highlights risks like thin_legs and forced_directional_risk. It also explains behavioral nuances like size_usd interpreted differently in single-market vs basket modes.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense and information-rich but runs long as a single paragraph. Every sentence contributes value—mode details, defaults, outputs, and usage guidance—but it could be more scannable with bullet points or section breaks. Still, given the tool's complexity (two modes), thoroughness is justified and no fluff exists.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

The tool is complex (two modes, four params, no output schema), and the description fully compensates: it lists all return values (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict, theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, forced_directional_risk), explains parameter defaults and clamping, and provides decision-relevant context like the dominant loss mode. An agent has everything needed to select and invoke correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3, but the description significantly exceeds the schema by explaining mode-specific semantics. For example, it defines side defaults and auto behavior ('default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1'), clarifies size_usd as 'max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells' vs 'settlement notional' for baskets, and notes the clamp range. This adds substantial meaning beyond the schema fields.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It uses a specific verb ('check') and resource (order-book depth), and distinguishes itself from siblings by explicitly referencing polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges as tools to precede it. The two modes (single-market and basket) are clearly delineated.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit when-to-use guidance is provided: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains the rationale (theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable) and the risk of partial basket fills, effectively teaching the agent when this tool is necessary.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have distinct purposes, but ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, and validate_claim have overlapping functionality in answering factual questions. The detailed descriptions help differentiate them, though some confusion may still arise.

Naming Consistency5/5

All tool names follow a consistent snake_case convention with a verb_noun pattern (e.g., compare_entities, resolve_entity). No mixing of camelCase or other styles, making the naming predictable and uniform.

Tool Count3/5

34 tools is on the higher side, but many are meta-tools (discover, feedback, subscriptions) and some are redundant (ask_pipeworx vs grounded). While the scope is broad, the count could be trimmed for tighter focus.

Completeness4/5

The server covers a wide range of domains (SEC, FDA, FRED, prediction markets, etc.) with strong read and analysis capabilities. Missing update/delete operations and direct trading, but comprehensive for data retrieval and analysis.