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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations indicate readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint=false. The description adds that it checks order book depth, walks the ladder, returns verdicts (clean|degraded|cannot_fill), and warns about forced directional risk. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured with section headers (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, USE THIS). It front-loads the purpose and every sentence adds value. Minor redundancy could be trimmed, but the density justifies the length.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, so the description details many return fields (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, etc.). It covers both modes, explains edge cases (thin books, partial fills), and addresses the dominant loss mode. Complete for a risk-check tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, and the description adds extra context: explains default values for side and size_usd, clarifies auto-detection for basket mode side, and interprets size_usd differently for single-market vs basket modes.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states it performs a 'realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth' and distinguishes between single-market and basket modes. It lists specific return fields and differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly says 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500' and explains why: theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable and partial basket fills convert arb into unhedged directional positions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Tools are richly described with clear use-cases, but several clusters overlap: ask_pipeworx/ask_pipeworx_beta/ask_pipeworx_grounded/deep_research are all question-routing tools with similar names, and the five polymarket_* tools cover adjacent prediction-market analysis. An agent could easily pick the wrong one without reading the full descriptions.

Naming Consistency4/5

All names are snake_case and mostly follow a verb_noun or domain_noun pattern (compare_entities, resolve_entity, denver_query, polymarket_edges, pipeworx_trending). There are minor deviations like single verbs (remember, forget), adjective-first names (recent_alerts, deep_research), and domain-prefixed groups, but the overall style is predictable and readable.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is a large surface for one server, pushing beyond the 25+ threshold where agents struggle to choose. While the platform is genuinely multi-domain (data lookup, prediction markets, Denver open data, memory, subscriptions, npm checks, llms.txt generation), several niche clusters like the 5-tool Polymarket suite and 3-tool memory trio inflate the count.

Completeness4/5

The server covers its domain well: general querying, grounded verification, deep research, entity resolution, company profiling, change feeds, subscription lifecycle (subscribe/list/unsubscribe/alerts), memory lifecycle (remember/recall/forget), and discovery (discover_tools, suggest_questions). Minor gaps exist—such as no direct browsing of all Pipeworx sources—but agents can work around them.