Skip to main content
Glama

Connecticut Open Data

Polymarket Arbitrage

polymarket_arbitrage
Read-onlyIdempotent

Find arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket via monotonicity violations + partition-sum checks. Call with NO args for a trending_scan of the top ~200 markets by weekly volume; pass event for the strongest per-event partition_check, or topic for a themed cross-event scan. event (recommended for a specific market): pass a Polymarket event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k"; walks child markets, checks date-axis / threshold-axis ordering AND computes the partition_check (sum of YES prices across mutually-exclusive legs — should ≈1; deviations >3pp emit a BUY/SELL EVERY LEG signal). topic (for cross-event scanning): pass a seed question like "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal" or "Fed rate decision"; searches related events across the platform, flattens markets, runs the comparator on the union. Cross-event mode catches "...by May 31" vs "...by Jun 30" patterns that single-event misses. SEMANTIC ANCHOR: cross-event pairs require ≥0.30 Jaccard similarity on question tokens (prevents Powell-Fed-Pause being paired with Powell-DOJ-probe); skipped_low_similarity surfaces the rejected pair count. PARTITION FILTER: drops will-person-X / will-manager-Y / will-someone-else- placeholder slugs; partitions with >20% placeholder fraction return null arb signal. Response: opportunities[] (gap_pp, suggested_trade, reasoning, monotonicity violation context), and in event mode partition_check{sum_yes_prices, gap_from_1, placeholders_filtered, suggested_trade}. FILL CHECK: when the partition signal fires, arbitrage.fill_check prices it against live CLOB depth (theoretical_edge_pp_at_book vs realizable_edge_pp at 1000 shares/leg, thin_legs[]) — realizable_edge_pp ≤ 0 means the overround exists only at last-trade, not in the book; do not trade it. For custom sizing use polymarket_fill_risk.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
eventNoSingle-event mode (use this if you know the specific Polymarket event): event slug like "fed-decision-may-2026" or "when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k". Full Polymarket URLs also accepted.
topicNoCross-event mode (use this if you want to scan related events across the platform): a topic or seed question like "Fed rate decision" or "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal". Tool searches Polymarket for related events and checks monotonicity across them.

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations declare readOnlyHint=true, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=true, destructiveHint=false. Description adds extensive behavioral details: internal algorithms (date-axis ordering, partition_check, Jaccard similarity filtering, placeholder filtering, fill check with CLOB depth), response structure, and trade recommendations. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Description is lengthy but information-dense and well-structured, with key points front-loaded (purpose, mode selection). Every sentence adds value, though slight verbosity could be trimmed. Still effective and clear.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (three modes, multiple filtering steps, fill check), the description is remarkably complete. It explains all essential behaviors, response fields (opportunities[], partition_check, fill_check), and trade decisions. No output schema, so description fully compensates. Also guides usage of sibling tools when appropriate.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with descriptions for both 'event' and 'topic'. Description adds value beyond schema by explaining each parameter's purpose, mode selection, example values (e.g., 'fed-decision-may-2026'), and acceptance of full Polymarket URLs. Provides context on how parameters affect behavior.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description clearly states the tool finds arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket using monotonicity violations and partition-sum checks. It distinguishes three modes (no args, event, topic) with specific behaviors, differentiating from sibling tools like polymarket_edges and polymarket_fill_risk.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly explains when to use each mode: 'Call with NO args for a trending_scan...', 'event (recommended for a specific market)', 'topic for a themed cross-event scan'. Includes recommendations, exclusions (e.g., 'do not trade it' when fill check fails), and references sibling tool polymarket_fill_risk for custom sizing.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

Try in Browser

Glama MCP Gateway

Add one secure layer between your agents and this server.

TDQS

A3.5/5.0
Disambiguation1/5

Multiple tools (ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research) have overlapping research purposes. Additionally, many Polymarket and Pipeworx-specific tools are unrelated to the Connecticut Open Data server name, causing confusion.

Naming Consistency2/5

Naming is highly inconsistent: some use snake_case (ask_pipeworx, resolve_entity), others use longer descriptive phrases (polymarket_fill_risk, scan_competitor_ai_presence), with no clear pattern.

Tool Count1/5

The server claims to be about Connecticut Open Data but includes 34 tools, only 3 of which (datasets, metadata, query) are relevant. The vast majority are unrelated Pipeworx/Prediction Market tools, making the size inappropriate.

Completeness1/5

For Connecticut Open Data coverage, only basic dataset search, metadata, and query tools exist. Missing common operations like data upload, schema modification, or API key management for the open data portal.