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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Added
  2. Removed
  3. Added

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, etc. The description adds context: walks order book, returns specific fields like top_of_book, slippage, verdict, and explains forced_directional_risk. No contradiction. Adds significant value beyond annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Well-structured: overall purpose, then mode details with clear headings (SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET), then usage guidance. Slightly verbose but every sentence adds value. Front-loaded with purpose and requirement.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Without output schema, description fully covers return fields for both modes: top_of_book, vwap, slippage, shares_filled, max_fillable, verdict, theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit, per-leg detail, thin_legs, max_clean_notional, forced_directional_risk. Completely addresses complexity of two modes and 4 parameters.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, baseline 3. Description adds semantic meaning: side default and auto-detection in basket mode, size_usd interpretation differences (max spend vs target proceeds vs settlement notional). Goes beyond schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check' and specifies two modes (single-market and basket), with verbs like 'walks the ladder' and 'returns'. It distinguishes from siblings by specifying it's a pre-trade risk check for arb signals and edge trades.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly says 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500' and explains why (theoretical overround not capturable, partial basket fills cause directional risk). Also notes the requirement of one of market or event.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

C2.9/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Many tools have overlapping purposes: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, discover_tools, and suggest_questions all serve query/research; polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, bet_research, and polymarket_edge_tracker all analyze prediction markets; entity_profile, compare_entities, and recent_changes overlap on company research. An agent could easily select the wrong one.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names are lowercase snake_case, but the verb-noun convention is inconsistent: some are verb-first (ask_pipeworx, generate_llms_txt, validate_claim), some noun-first (entity_profile, polymarket_edges, recent_changes), and some are bare nouns (query, metadata, datasets). The pattern is readable but not uniform.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is excessive for the apparent scope, especially given the server name suggests a Chicago city-data focus while the vast majority of tools are generic data-research, prediction-market, and memory utilities. This feels like a kitchen-sink bundle rather than a focused, well-scoped toolset.

Completeness2/5

The tool surface is a disjointed collection covering querying, research, memory, subscriptions, and prediction markets, but it lacks coherent lifecycle coverage for any single domain. For the named 'Cityofchicago' purpose, there is almost no city-specific functionality, and even as a general data tool, obvious gaps remain (e.g., no direct dataset management or update/delete operations).