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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true, and destructiveHint=false, so the tool is known to be safe. The description adds substantial behavioral context: it 'walks the ladder,' returns specific metrics like slippage and max_fillable_usd, and warns about the dominant loss mode (partial basket fills converting an arb into an unhedged directional position). This far exceeds the baseline set by annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but densely packed with essential information, structured into clear sections (overview, required mode, single-market, basket, usage guidance). Every sentence adds value — no filler or tautology. The most important usage guidance is front-loaded in uppercase, and the format is easy to scan.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (two modes, many return fields, no output schema), the description is remarkably complete. It explains the exact return values for both modes, names the risk factors (thin_legs, forced_directional_risk), and provides actionable guidance on when to use it. There is no missing information that would prevent an agent from selecting and invoking the tool correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. However, the description adds critical semantics beyond the schema: for market mode, size_usd is 'max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells'; for basket mode, it's 'settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution.' It also clarifies the side parameter's defaults and auto behavior in basket mode, which is not in the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description starts with a specific verb+resource: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It clearly distinguishes single-market mode from basket/partition mode and differentiates itself from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by framing the check as a pre-trade validation tool.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit usage guidance is given: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains when to use each mode (single-market vs basket) and how to choose the side, making alternatives and exclusions clear.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

B3/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools are near-duplicates or have fuzzy boundaries: ask_pipeworx_beta explicitly matches ask_pipeworx exactly, the raw data tools (daily_data, hourly_data, event_data, latest, reservoirs) all read as generic 'get data' operations, and the five polymarket_* scanners overlap in opportunity-finding. The verbose descriptions help for many composite tools, but an agent can still easily select the wrong variant.

Naming Consistency4/5

The naming is predominantly consistent lowercase snake_case with strong prefixed families (ask_pipeworx*, polymarket_*, pipeworx_*, scan_*) and clear verb_noun actions. Minor deviations like noun-only latest/reservoirs, ask_pipeworx lacking a separator, and generate_llms_txt keep it from a 5.

Tool Count2/5

37 tools is well above the heavy threshold, and the count is inflated by redundant meta-tools, three router variants, six overlapping generic data fetchers, and six prediction-market tools. Many tools are purposeful, so it is not an extreme mismatch, but the surface would be much cleaner at roughly 20-25 tools.

Completeness4/5

The set covers the core data lifecycle well: discovery (discover_tools, suggest_questions), lookup (ask_pipeworx), grounding/validation (ask_pipeworx_grounded, validate_claim, search_within), entity workflows (resolve_entity, entity_profile, recent_changes, compare_entities), plus memory and subscription CRUD. Minor gaps like no explicit fetch-by-citation tool and a limited subscription type set prevent a 5.