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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate readOnlyHint=true, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=true, destructiveHint=false. The description adds critical behavioral context: partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position, and explains the 'thin_legs' and 'forced_directional_risk' outputs. This goes beyond annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured with clear headings (SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET) and a usage warning at the end. Every sentence provides necessary detail for a complex two-mode tool. Could be slightly shorter but the structure aids readability.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (two modes, no output schema), the description comprehensively explains return fields for both modes: top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict for single-market; theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs, max_clean_notional_usd, forced_directional_risk for basket. Complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. The description adds significant value: explains how size_usd is interpreted differently for single-market (spend/proceeds) vs basket (settlement notional), side defaults to auto for basket, and clarifies the difference between market and event parameters. This is above baseline.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose as a realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live order-book depth. It distinguishes two modes (single-market and basket) and explicitly differentiates from sibling tools like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit usage guidance: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains why (theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, partial fills lead to unhedged positions) and warns about the dominant loss mode.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools have heavily overlapping purposes: ask_pipeworx and ask_pipeworx_beta are described as currently identical, and the polymarket_* family (edges, arbitrage, edge_tracker, fill_risk, kalshi_spread) all target prediction-market analysis with fuzzy boundaries. ai_visibility_check and scan_competitor_ai_presence overlap as well. While some tools are clearly distinct (art search vs memory), the set as a whole requires careful reading to avoid misselection.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names follow multiple patterns: verb_noun (search_artworks, resolve_entity, validate_claim), domain_prefixed (polymarket_*, pipeworx_*), and product-style names (ask_pipeworx, bet_research, deep_research). Versioned suffixes like ask_pipeworx_beta and ask_pipeworx_grounded break any unified convention. Even though subgroups are internally consistent, the overall pattern is mixed and unpredictable.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is on the high side, especially for a server named after an art museum. Only 3 tools actually relate to the Minneapolis Institute of Art, while the rest are a general-purpose data platform, prediction-market analysis, and memory/subscription features. Many of these extra tools are redundant or power-user variations, making the count feel inflated relative to the apparent domain.

Completeness3/5

For the stated art domain, the read-only surface (search, get, department highlights) is functional but thin — no artist browse, exhibitions, or advanced filtering. The broader data tools are comprehensive in themselves, but their presence distracts from the core domain and creates confusion about the server's intended purpose. The art coverage is adequate for basic queries but lacks depth expected from a dedicated museum collection API.