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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnly, openWorld, idempotent, and non-destructive. The description goes far beyond this by detailing input requirements (one of market or event), default values (size_usd default 1000, side default), output fields (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, etc.), and the risk of partial basket fills converting an arb into an unhedged directional position. It also explains size_usd interpretation per mode. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured with all-caps section markers (REQUIRES, SINGLE-MARKET, BASKET, USE THIS) and a clear one-sentence opening definition. It is front-loaded and scannable. Some redundancy exists (e.g., the thin-book risk warning repeats the earlier 'theoretical overround on thin books' concept), but the length is largely justified by the tool's complexity.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description thoroughly lists return fields for both modes (e.g., top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, verdict for single-market; theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, thin_legs, forced_directional_risk for basket). It also covers edge cases (partial fills, thin books), provides a size threshold ($500), and explains the verdict categories. This is complete for a complex tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with detailed parameter descriptions, so the baseline is 3. The description adds mode-specific context not fully present in the schema, such as how size_usd is interpreted differently in single-market ('max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells') versus basket ('settlement notional S') modes, and clarifies valid parameter combinations. While much of the parameter info is repeated from the schema, the mode integration adds meaningful selection guidance.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb and resource: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It then clearly delineates two modes (SINGLE-MARKET and BASKET) and explicitly names sibling tools (polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges) to differentiate its role as a pre-trade validation tool. This is a specific, well-scoped purpose.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly instructs when to use this tool: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains why (theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, partial fills create unhedged directional positions) and provides mode-selection requirements ('REQUIRES one of market or event'). This is exemplary usage guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

The set mixes several overlapping clusters: three ask_pipeworx variants (beta is explicitly identical to stable right now), six Polymarket tools with similar opportunity-scanning purposes, and two AI-visibility tools that duplicate each other. However, the descriptions are detailed enough that an agent can usually pick correctly, so the ambiguity is moderate rather than severe.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names follow no single convention — some are verb_noun (query_layer, validate_claim), some noun_noun (entity_profile, layer_info), some company-prefixed clusters (pipeworx_*, polymarket_*), and a few standalone verbs (forget, recall). While snake_case is consistent, the absence of a uniform verb_noun pattern across the set makes it unpredictable.

Tool Count2/5

At 34 tools, the server is oversized for its apparent purpose, and the count is even more problematic because most tools belong to a general Pipeworx/data platform while only 3 serve the 'Arcgis Princewilliam' GIS theme. The set feels like two unrelated servers merged, with many tools earning no clear place in a unified product.

Completeness2/5

The GIS side is a read-only stub (search, schema, and query) with no editing or feature-level retrieval, and the broader Pipeworx side has a notable dead end: tools return pipeworx:// citation URIs but no tool is provided to fetch those resources. The result is a surface that is simultaneously over-built in prediction markets and under-built in its namesake domain.