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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=true, destructiveHint=false. The description adds significant behavioral context: it 'walks the ladder', returns fills and slippage, and warns that partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged position. It also clarifies the required market-or-event constraint.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but front-loaded with its core purpose and structured clearly into single-market and basket modes. Every section provides necessary detail for a complex tool, though the last sentence about 'dominant loss mode' is slightly verbose and could be trimmed.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

No output schema exists, yet the description enumerates all key return fields for both modes: top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and verdict for single-market; theoretical_sum, realizable_sum, capture_ratio, profit_usd, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs, max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk for basket. It also ties usage to sibling tools, making it actionable.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but the description enriches each parameter: size_usd is interpreted as 'max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells' in single-market mode and as 'settlement notional' in basket mode; side defaults are auto-selected based on partition sum; clamps are specified (10–1,000,000). This adds mode-specific meaning absent from the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb and resource: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It clearly distinguishes this tool from siblings like polymarket_arbitrage and polymarket_edges by focusing on fill risk and order-book execution rather than opportunity detection.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states when to use: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It explains the rationale, noting that theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable and partial basket fills create unhedged directional positions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Many tools have distinct purposes, but there is overlap among data query tools (ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research) and numerous Polymarket bet tools, which could cause confusion. Tool descriptions are detailed and help differentiate, but the diversity of domains requires careful reading.

Naming Consistency2/5

Tool names follow inconsistent patterns: some are snake_case verb_noun (query_layer, search_datasets), others are noun_verb (bet_research) or compound names (pipeworx_feedback, polymarket_arbitrage). There is no uniform convention, making it harder for agents to predict tool names.

Tool Count2/5

With 33 tools, the server feels overloaded for its apparent ArcGIS focus. Most tools are unrelated to ArcGIS (Polymarket, Pipeworx data, memory, subscriptions), suggesting a lack of scope. The count is high without a clear unifying purpose.

Completeness2/5

The tool surface is incomplete for any single domain. ArcGIS coverage is minimal (only query and schema), Pipeworx data tools are abundant but without a clear workflow, and Polymarket betting lacks order placement. The server tries to cover too many areas resulting in shallow coverage.