Skip to main content
Glama

Arcgis Glasgow

by io.github.pipeworx-io

Bet Research

bet_research
Read-onlyIdempotent

Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call. Pass a market slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), a polymarket.com URL, or a question text. The tool resolves the market, classifies the bet, fans out to category-specific data packs in parallel, and returns an evidence packet + simple market-vs-model comparison. Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z". CLASSIFIERS: crypto_price, fed_rate, geopolitical, sports, sports_championship, drug_approval, election_candidate, tech_launch, space_launch, corporate, corporate_earnings, corporate_event, public_figure_speech, weather, other. FAN-OUT EXAMPLES: BTC bet → coingecko + fred + gdelt+gnews; Fed bet → fred (DFEDTARU + EFFR + CPIAUCSL) + kalshi_macro (KXFED implied probs) + recent_fed_actions (federal-register rules, last 365d); Hormuz bet → imf_portwatch + airspace + gdelt; Yankees WS → mlb_stats_standings + parent_event partition + news; hottest-year bet → climate_projection_nyc + gistemp_latest (NASA global anomaly, rank since 1880) + news; NVDA-vs-AAPL → finnhub get_quote + edgar shares-outstanding (derived market cap) + edgar filings + news. RESPONSE SHAPES: result.market carries best_bid/best_ask/spread_pp/liquidity/price_change_1h/1d/1w; result.analysis carries model_probability/edge_pp/kelly_fraction_half when a closed-form model fires PLUS a 24h-move warning ("Market moved X.Xpp in 24h, comparable to model edge — your edge may already be priced in") when relevant; result.evidence is keyed by source. RESOLVER CONTRACT: result.market_match_confidence ∈ {high, medium, low, none}, market_match_score (0-1 token-overlap), market_match_alternatives[] (other candidate markets the resolver considered), and suggestions[] (explicit re-query hints when the match is fuzzy) — ALWAYS inspect these before trusting the analysis block, because medium/low matches can still surface other fields. PARENT_EVENT EXTRACTOR: when the bet is one leg of a partition (Yankees WS, Romania election), result.parent_event{matched_candidate, top_legs_by_price[], partition_size, placeholders_filtered} gives you the peer prices in one place — that's the headline for elections/championships. NEWS FIELDS: news entries carry _fallback_attempted / _fallback_failed_reason / retry_after_sec when GDELT 429s and GNews backfill ran or failed. SAFETY: low-confidence resolutions short-circuit with status:"low_confidence_match" and suppress analysis fields so agents can't accidentally size on phantom matches. Closed/dead markets that ARE still indexed by Polymarket (yes_price≈0, no volume, no liquidity) return status:"market_closed_or_inactive" and skip fan-out. In practice resolved markets are usually de-indexed and instead surface via the low_confidence_match path above — both routes are BLOCKING, just different mechanisms. Wide-spread markets (>10pp) carry tradeability:"illiquid_wide_spread" + an explanatory note. RESOLUTION-RULE RISK: market.cancellation_rule parses the void/postponement settlement out of the resolution text — refund_50_50 (shares settle flat 50¢ on void; EV-material for any entry away from 50¢, with ev_impact quantified), resolves_no_on_cancel, resolves_yes_on_cancel, carries_to_reschedule, or mentioned_unclear. null means the description never mentions cancellation. Check this before sizing sports/esports/event-occurrence bets — audited arb-bot ledgers show flat-50¢ void settlements are a recurring pure-rules loss.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNoquick = 2-3 evidence sources, thorough = full fan-out. Default thorough.
marketYesPolymarket slug ("will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"), full URL ("https://polymarket.com/event/..."), or question text ("Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30?")
include_rawNoDefault false. When false (recommended), FRED/FDA/GDELT/Federal-Register evidence is summarized to the few fields agents actually use — keeps responses under ~20KB. Pass true to get full upstream payloads (50KB-500KB) when you need to recompute deltas, cite specific observations, or post-process.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections. Dates show when Glama detected each change.

  1. Changed1 schema field changed
    • changedInput schema / examples
      Previous value: -[
-  {
-    "market_input": "will fed cut rates in june 2026"
-  },
-  {
-    "market_input": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"
-  }
-]New value: +[
+  {
+    "market": "will-bitcoin-reach-100k-in-july-2026"
+  },
+  {
+    "market": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026"
+  }
+]
  2. First observed

TDQS

A4.4/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations only declare safe read-only, idempotent, non-destructive behavior. The description goes far beyond that by disclosing the fan-out architecture, resolver contract with confidence levels, parent-event extraction, news fallback details (_fallback_attempted/_fallback_failed_reason), blocking status routes for low-confidence or closed markets, spread illiquidity warnings, and resolution-rule risk (e.g., refund_50_50). This is exceptional behavioral disclosure that gives the agent a clear mental model of what happens and what could go wrong.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but well-structured with caps-lock section headers and front-loaded purpose. Every sentence contributes useful information for a complex tool with no output schema. It could be slightly tightened—fan-out examples are extensive—but overall the density is justified by the tool's complexity and the need to convey resolver contracts, safety statuses, and risk warnings.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description must explain return shapes, statuses, and edge cases—and it does comprehensively. It covers result.market, result.analysis, result.evidence, resolver contract fields, parent_event extraction, news fallback fields, low-confidence short-circuit, closed-market status, wide-spread tradeability, and resolution-rule risk. For a 3-parameter tool with such rich output, this is complete and empowers correct invocation and interpretation.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so all three parameters are already documented: market (slug/URL/question), depth (quick/thorough), and include_raw (false recommended). The description does not add materially new parameter semantics beyond what the schema provides; it largely restates the accepted input forms and uses fan-out examples that are more behavioral than parameter-specific. Baseline of 3 is appropriate because the schema carries the parameter documentation load.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb and resource: 'Research a Polymarket bet by pulling the relevant Pipeworx data for it in one call.' It clearly distinguishes itself from sibling tools like polymarket_edges or polymarket_arbitrage by framing this as a comprehensive research/evidence-gathering tool, not just an edge calculator. The input formats and output shape are concrete and actionable.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states when to use the tool: 'Use for "should I bet on X", "what does the data say about Y", or "is there edge in Z".' It also provides rich guidance on interpreting results, like checking market_match_confidence before trusting analysis and checking cancellation_rule before sizing bets. However, it does not explicitly name alternatives or exclusions (e.g., when NOT to use this and use polymarket_arbitrage instead), so it falls short of a full 5.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

All Arcgis Glasgow toolsInspect
Try in Browser
RayrunBuild, deploy, and operate MCP servers without becoming an infrastructure team.ray.runAd

Glama MCP Gateway

Add one secure layer between your agents and this server.

TDQS

A3.6/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several tools have unclear boundaries: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta (currently functionally identical), ask_pipeworx_grounded, deep_research, discover_tools, and suggest_questions all route to the same underlying catalog with only subtle differences. The Polymarket cluster (bet_research, polymarket_arbitrage, polymarket_edges, polymarket_edge_tracker, polymarket_fill_risk, polymarket_kalshi_spread) also substantially overlaps in purpose, and the two unrelated domains (GIS vs. data/betting) make it worse.

Naming Consistency3/5

Names are readable and form some predictable clusters (polymarket_* prefix, ask_pipeworx_* suffixes, subscribe/unsubscribe/list_subscriptions), but conventions are mixed: bare verbs (remember, forget, recall), noun_noun (layer_info, entity_profile, pipeworx_feedback), verb_noun (query_layer, search_datasets), and adjective_noun (deep_research, recent_alerts). No single pattern dominates, though nothing is chaotic.

Tool Count2/5

34 tools is well above the 25+ threshold for a heavy surface, and the count is not justified by the server's stated identity: only 3 of 34 tools (search_datasets, layer_info, query_layer) relate to ArcGIS Glasgow. The remaining 31 tools belong to several unrelated domains (Pipeworx data querying, Polymarket betting, AI visibility, memory, npm scanning), making the effective scope far too broad.

Completeness2/5

For the server's named ArcGIS Glasgow domain, the surface is thin: search, schema inspection, and query are present, but there is no way to list all datasets, no spatial querying, and no write/update capability. Meanwhile the 31 non-GIS tools create a sprawling second server's worth of functionality, so the set as a whole has no coherent domain whose coverage can be judged complete.

Resources