Prop backtest
get_prop_backtestRead-onlyIdempotent
Use to test an idea about player props without pulling every row: how often a kind of prop went over or under against what the market implied, across every finished game we hold prices for that fits your filters. Returns the hit rate, its 95% interval, the average implied and fair probabilities, and each season on its own. For example, shots on goal overs for players whose team was the underdog at home. One result per player per game at the median closing line. It describes the past and recommends nothing. For one player game by game use get_prop_history. Costs 25 credits.
Tool call template
Replace each placeholder with a value matching the input schema. Only required parameters are included; add optional parameters as needed.
{
"id": 1,
"jsonrpc": "2.0",
"method": "tools/call",
"params": {
"arguments": {
"market": "<market>"
},
"name": "get_prop_backtest"
}
}Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| side | No | over (default) or under. Yes/no markets are graded on the yes price: over only. | |
| team | No | The player's team, e.g. TOR. | |
| market | Yes | The market, e.g. player_shots_on_goal. | |
| to_date | No | Last game date, YYYY-MM-DD. Default all held. | |
| fair_max | No | Highest fair probability of this side to include, 0 to 1. | |
| fair_min | No | Lowest fair probability of this side to include, 0 to 1. | |
| line_max | No | Highest median closing line to include. | |
| line_min | No | Lowest median closing line to include. | |
| opponent | No | The team he played. | |
| from_date | No | First game date, YYYY-MM-DD. Default all held. | |
| home_away | No | Whether his team was at home. | |
| player_id | No | One player's id (e.g. 8478402, from search_players). | |
| team_role | No | Whether his team was favored, by the books' closing moneylines. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| hits | Yes | ||
| note | No | ||
| side | Yes | ||
| tool | No | ||
| games | Yes | ||
| label | Yes | ||
| market | Yes | ||
| method | Yes | ||
| misses | Yes | ||
| pushes | Yes | ||
| caution | Yes | ||
| credits | No | ||
| filters | Yes | ||
| players | Yes | ||
| results | Yes | ||
| avg_line | Yes | ||
| hit_rate | Yes | ||
| no_price | Yes | ||
| avg_books | Yes | ||
| by_season | Yes | ||
| no_result | Yes | ||
| avg_actual | Yes | ||
| avg_fair_prob | Yes | ||
| estimate_only | No | ||
| avg_implied_prob | Yes | ||
| hit_rate_minus_fair | Yes | ||
| hit_rate_interval_95 | Yes | ||
| hit_rate_minus_implied | Yes | ||
| market_inside_interval | Yes |