Prop backtest
get_prop_backtestUse to test an idea about player props without pulling every row: how often a kind of prop went over or under against what the market implied, across every finished game since 2023 that fits your filters. Returns the hit rate, its 95% interval, the average implied and fair probabilities, and each season on its own. For example, receiving yards overs for tight ends on home underdogs. One result per player per game at the median closing line. It describes the past and recommends nothing. For one player game by game use get_prop_history. Costs 25 credits.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| side | No | over (default) or under. Yes/no markets such as player_anytime_td have only over. | |
| team | No | The player's team, e.g. KC. | |
| market | Yes | The market, e.g. player_reception_yds. | |
| fair_max | No | Highest fair probability of this side to include, 0 to 1. | |
| fair_min | No | Lowest fair probability of this side to include, 0 to 1. | |
| line_max | No | Highest median closing line to include. | |
| line_min | No | Lowest median closing line to include. | |
| opponent | No | The team he played, e.g. BUF. | |
| position | No | The player's position, e.g. QB, RB, WR, TE. | |
| week_max | No | Last week of the season. | |
| week_min | No | First week of the season. | |
| game_type | No | Default both. | |
| home_away | No | Whether his team was at home. | |
| player_id | No | One player's GSIS id (from search_players). | |
| team_role | No | Whether his team was favored, by the consensus closing spread. | |
| to_season | No | Last season. Default all held. | |
| from_season | No | First season, 2023 or later. Default all held. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| hits | Yes | ||
| note | No | ||
| side | Yes | ||
| tool | No | ||
| games | Yes | ||
| label | Yes | ||
| market | Yes | ||
| method | Yes | ||
| misses | Yes | ||
| pushes | Yes | ||
| caution | Yes | ||
| credits | No | ||
| filters | Yes | ||
| players | Yes | ||
| results | Yes | ||
| avg_line | Yes | ||
| hit_rate | Yes | ||
| no_price | Yes | ||
| avg_books | Yes | ||
| by_season | Yes | ||
| no_result | Yes | ||
| avg_actual | Yes | ||
| avg_fair_prob | Yes | ||
| estimate_only | No | ||
| avg_implied_prob | Yes | ||
| hit_rate_minus_fair | Yes | ||
| hit_rate_interval_95 | Yes | ||
| hit_rate_minus_implied | Yes | ||
| market_inside_interval | Yes |