Smart-money score calibration
hl_score_calibrationOut-of-sample evidence for whether the hl_smart_money_score actually predicts anything: Spearman rank correlation between each wallet's score and the realized return it went on to earn over the forward window (PnL over account value), plus mean forward return per score quartile. Verdicts: insufficient_data (not enough resolved observations yet), inverted (significantly NEGATIVE — higher-scored wallets did worse), no_evidence, weak_positive, positive (both require p<0.05). Only server-selected cohorts enter the sample, so a caller cannot steer this figure. Read this before treating the score as a forecast.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No arguments | |||
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| n | Yes | ||
| pValue | Yes | ||
| verdict | Yes | ||
| spearman | Yes | ||
| quartiles | Yes | ||
| methodology | Yes | ||
| observations | Yes |