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HPSILab Quant Finance

Monte Carlo Simulation

get_monte_carlo
Read-onlyIdempotent

Monte Carlo price simulation for the next ~10 trading days: thousands of random price paths estimate a likely price range and the odds of finishing higher.

Args:
    ticker: Stock symbol, e.g. "AAPL".

Input Schema

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
tickerYes

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnly, idempotent, openWorld, and non-destructive, so the safety profile is covered. The description adds genuinely new behavioral context: the method (thousands of random paths), the ~10 trading day horizon, and the two outputs it estimates. It stops short of noting that results are stochastic or whether the simulation repeats identically across calls.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

One front-loaded sentence delivers purpose, method, horizon, and return content, followed by a single-line argument note. Nothing is padded or buried.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness3/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

There is no output schema, so the description bears the burden of explaining results; it names the estimates (range, probability of gain) but not their shape, units, confidence level, or the volatility assumptions behind the paths. Adequate to call correctly, thin for interpreting what comes back.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 0% and the schema only labels the field 'Ticker', so the description's 'Stock symbol, e.g. "AAPL"' is the sole source of format guidance and it supplies a concrete example. With a single required string parameter that is sufficient semantics, though it omits exchange or suffix conventions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description names a specific technique and resource — Monte Carlo price simulation over the next ~10 trading days — and says what it produces (a likely price range and the odds of finishing higher). That is enough to separate it from siblings like analyze_stock or get_ai_prediction in kind, though it never explicitly contrasts itself with them.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines3/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Usage is only implied: the ~10-day horizon hints at short-term probabilistic queries, but there is no statement of when to pick this over get_ai_prediction or get_iv_radar, and no prerequisites or exclusions. An agent must infer the selection rule from the tool's name and sibling names.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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